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Sysco's Q4 Earnings on the Horizon: What Surprise Awaits Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:55
Core Viewpoint - Sysco Corporation is expected to report an increase in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenues estimated at $21 billion, reflecting a 2.1% growth year-over-year, and earnings per share projected at $1.40, indicating a 0.7% rise from the previous year [1][3]. Group 1: Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sysco's quarterly revenues is pegged at $21 billion, indicating a 2.1% growth from the year-ago quarter [1]. - The consensus mark for earnings has remained stable at $1.40 per share, reflecting a 0.7% increase from the prior year's reported figure [1]. Group 2: Contributing Factors to Performance - Sysco's U.S. Foodservice operations are showing robust strength, contributing positively to the upcoming results, alongside solid customer retention [3][11]. - The company has expanded its distribution capacity and implemented strategic sales initiatives, including the rollout of the Greco Italian platform, which are likely to enhance performance [3]. - The international segment is expected to contribute positively, supported by increased sales headcount, local assortment expansion, and strategic sourcing synergies [4]. Group 3: Cost and Margin Considerations - Rising product costs, particularly in dairy and meat categories, are impacting gross margins negatively [6]. - Increased headcount investments and supply-chain expenses are also potential concerns for the company [6]. - Macroeconomic factors such as soft restaurant traffic, weak consumer confidence, and elevated inflation are dampening demand [6]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for Sysco, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +2.25% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7].