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RKLB vs. LUNR: Which Space Player Shows Bigger Potential in 2025?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-27 15:55
Core Insights - The space industry is experiencing significant growth in 2025, driven by increased global security needs, demand for faster satellite communication, and collaboration between governments and private companies [2] Group 1: Company Overview - Rocket Lab USA Corp. (RKLB) provides comprehensive space solutions, including small satellite launches, spacecraft design, manufacturing, and advanced space systems [3] - Intuitive Machines (LUNR) primarily focuses on lunar missions, offering lunar landers, payload delivery, data services, and long-term Moon infrastructure [3] Group 2: Performance and Milestones - Rocket Lab reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 48% in its third-quarter 2025 results, bolstering investor confidence [5] - In November 2025, Rocket Lab successfully launched a suborbital mission for the Defense Innovation Unit and the Missile Defense Agency, enhancing its role in national security [6] - Rocket Lab also launched two Explorer-class spacecraft for NASA's ESCAPADE mission to Mars, highlighting its expanding role in deep-space research [7] - The company completed its 74th Electron mission, reinforcing its reliability as a launch partner for Earth-imaging satellites [8] - Intuitive Machines secured an $8.2 million contract extension from the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory to advance next-generation nuclear power systems for spacecraft and lunar infrastructure [11][12] - Intuitive Machines agreed to acquire Lanteris Space Systems, enhancing its position in the space industry and expanding its revenue base [10] Group 3: Financial Estimates and Stock Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rocket Lab's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year surge of 37.7%, with a 20% improvement in bottom-line estimates over the past 60 days [13] - In contrast, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Intuitive Machines' 2025 sales suggests a year-over-year decline of 4%, although its bottom-line estimates have improved by 7.14% and 20% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [14] - Rocket Lab shares gained 63.3% over the past year, while Intuitive Machines' shares declined by 35.8% during the same period [15] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Considerations - Intuitive Machines has a more attractive forward sales multiple of 6.00X compared to Rocket Lab's 26.98X [18] - Both companies currently exhibit negative Return on Invested Capital, indicating challenges in generating sufficient profit from investments [19] - Overall, Rocket Lab is viewed as the stronger contender in the current market, with better performance and earnings outlook, while Intuitive Machines presents long-term potential but faces risks due to its reliance on lunar missions [20]