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Lockheed Martin: Is the Market Overlooking This Defensive Giant?
MarketBeat· 2025-09-05 17:22
Core Viewpoint - Lockheed Martin has faced operational challenges leading to a decline in stock performance, but its long-term value proposition remains strong due to a robust order backlog and strategic importance in the defense sector [2][3][14] Financial Performance - The company reported a pre-tax loss of $1.6 billion in Q2 2025, prompting a reduction in full-year EPS guidance to a range of $21.70 - $22.00 [2][8] - Lockheed Martin's aeronautics division generated $7.4 billion in sales during Q2 2025, with the F-35 Lightning II being a key product [4] - The Missiles and Fire Control segment experienced an 11% year-over-year sales growth, driven by demand for essential tactical weapons [5] Order Backlog and Revenue Visibility - As of Q2 2025, Lockheed Martin reported a total backlog of $166.5 billion, providing exceptional visibility into future revenue [6][7] - This backlog insulates the company from short-term economic volatility, reinforcing its status as a defensive stock [7] Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a dividend yield of 2.86% and has increased its dividend for 22 consecutive years, with an annual dividend of $13.20 [10] - Lockheed Martin's dividend payout ratio stands at 74.32% of earnings but is more sustainable at 38% of cash flow, indicating strong capacity for continued payments [11] - In Q2 2025, the company returned $1.3 billion to shareholders through share repurchases, reducing the number of diluted shares outstanding [12] Analyst Outlook - The consensus 12-month price target for Lockheed Martin is $494.00, suggesting an 8.32% upside from the current price [6][13] - Despite recent challenges, the company is viewed as a core holding for long-term, defense-oriented portfolios due to its strategic product line and commitment to shareholder returns [14]