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APLD Stock Significantly Beats Industry So Far in June: Is It a Buy?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-30 13:25
Core Insights - Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) shares have increased by 52% in June, outperforming the Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry's 9.3% rise, driven by growing demand for AI services and infrastructure progress [1][8] - APLD has entered into two 15-year lease agreements with CoreWeave, expected to generate $7 billion in total revenues, enhancing its AI and HPC infrastructure presence [7][8] Industry Trends - Major tech companies like Microsoft and Meta are signaling increased demand for hyperscale, colocation, and AI workloads, with Meta planning to invest $62.5 billion and Microsoft projecting $80 billion in capital expenditures by 2025 [2] - Other tech giants, including Amazon, Alphabet, and Oracle, are also expanding their AI data center capacities to support cloud services [2] Financial Performance - APLD reported a loss of $0.16 per share for Q3 FY2025, compared to earnings of $0.52 per share a year ago, despite robust sales growth [3] - The company is expected to see a small sales uptick in Q4, with earnings projected to improve by nearly 81% year over year [3] Growth Drivers - APLD has deployed nearly $1 billion in assets over the past year for data center construction, currently operating 286 megawatts of contracted hosting capacity, primarily for Bitcoin miners [9] - The company is building three new facilities expected to add 700 megawatts of capacity by 2027, significantly scaling its footprint for HPC and AI workloads [9] Capital and Funding - APLD secured a $150 million equity facility to raise capital for HPC infrastructure expansion, addressing significant cash burn from elevated capital expenditures [10] - The company ended Q3 with $100 million in cash, down from $308 million in the previous quarter, but the new facility is expected to provide necessary liquidity for growth [10] Sales and Earnings Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates project sales of $44.78 million for the current quarter and $46.83 million for the next quarter, with year-over-year growth estimates of 34.25% for the current year [11] - EPS estimates show a year-over-year growth of 80.77% for the current quarter, with expectations of improved profitability in the coming periods [12] Challenges - APLD faces rising costs due to increased depreciation of newly built facilities, which may pressure near-term profitability [13] - Seasonal fluctuations in power costs have impacted margins, and a significant drop in Cloud Services revenues was noted during the transition to a multi-tenant model [13][14] Valuation - APLD stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9.24X compared to the industry average of 3.86X, indicating a lofty valuation [16] Conclusion - Despite near-term challenges, APLD is strategically positioned for long-term growth in the AI and HPC infrastructure market, with strong partnerships and expansion plans [19] - The outlook remains promising for APLD as it aims to convert investments into sustainable revenue streams [19]