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Ferguson plc(FERG) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-16 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales for the fourth quarter reached $8.5 billion, a 6.9% increase year-over-year, driven by organic growth of 5.8% and acquisition growth of 1.1% [3][4][15] - Gross margin improved to 31.7%, up 70 basis points from the previous year [4][15] - Operating profit for the quarter was $972 million, reflecting a 13.4% increase year-over-year, with an operating margin of 11.4% [4][16] - Diluted EPS increased by 16.8% to $3.48 [4][16] - Full-year revenue was $30.8 billion, a 3.8% increase from the previous year, with operating profit of $2.84 billion, up 0.6% [8][9] Performance by Business Lines - HVAC revenue decreased slightly due to market conditions, but overall HVAC revenue for the year increased by 8% [10][11] - Waterworks revenue grew by 10% for the fiscal year, driven by diversification efforts [12] - Commercial mechanical revenue increased by 21%, while waterworks revenues rose by 15% [8][12] - Residential trade plumbing revenues decreased by 2% due to headwinds in new construction and ongoing PVC price deflation [7][10] Performance by Markets - In the U.S. market, net sales increased by 7.1%, with non-residential revenue growth of approximately 15% [6][16] - Residential end markets remained subdued, with flat revenue due to weakened new construction starts and soft demand in repair, maintenance, and improvement [6][10] - Canada saw net sales increase by 4.8%, with a 4.9% contribution from acquisitions [16] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on HVAC expansion, waterworks diversification, and large capital projects as key growth areas [11][23] - The merger of residential building and remodel with residential digital commerce into Ferguson Home aims to enhance customer experience and drive growth [8][14] - The company continues to consolidate fragmented markets through acquisitions, completing nine acquisitions in the fiscal year [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in medium-term market conditions despite current uncertainties, leveraging multi-year tailwinds in both residential and non-residential markets [5][23] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit revenue growth for calendar year 2025, with an operating margin range of 9.2% to 9.6% [22] - Management acknowledged challenges in the residential market, particularly in new construction and repair, maintenance, and improvement [28][81] Other Important Information - The company plans to change its fiscal year-end from July 31 to December 31, allowing for better focus during peak seasons [20][21] - The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.83 per share, reflecting a 5% increase over the prior year [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth and end market outlook - Analyst inquired about growth assumptions and market trends, particularly regarding residential and non-residential sectors [26] - Management noted that while residential markets are expected to remain weak, non-residential markets are showing resilience, particularly in large capital projects [27][28] Question: Non-residential bidding activity - Analyst asked for details on bidding activity and momentum in non-residential markets [41] - Management confirmed healthy backlogs across various segments, including commercial mechanical and waterworks, with strong bidding activity [42][44] Question: Pricing and margin expectations - Analyst sought clarification on pricing trends and gross margin expectations [45] - Management indicated that while pricing has improved, commodity prices remain volatile, and gross margins are expected to normalize [46][49] Question: Residential remodel demand - Analyst questioned the demand trends in the residential remodel market [71] - Management acknowledged continued pressure in the remodel market but noted positive growth in the higher-end segment [72] Question: New residential construction market - Analyst asked about trends in new residential construction and expectations for the second half of the year [80] - Management anticipated a slight decline in new residential construction activity but did not foresee a dramatic drop [81]