Group 1 - Dollar General is expected to report fiscal first-quarter earnings on June 3, 2025, with forecasts of $1.49 per share and revenue of $10.29 billion, indicating a 10% decline in earnings year-over-year and a 4% increase in sales compared to last year's figures [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $21 billion, with revenue over the past twelve months at $41 billion, operating profits of $1.7 billion, and a net income of $1.1 billion [2] - Dollar General's fourth-quarter earnings per share fell 53% year-over-year, contributing to a 32% overall drop for the year 2024, largely due to surplus inventory [2] Group 2 - The company sources approximately 96% of its inventory domestically, limiting exposure to tariff-related cost increases [2] - For the current fiscal year ending in January, Dollar General anticipates net sales growth between 3.4% and 4.4%, while same-store sales are expected to rise by only 1.2% to 2.2% [2] - Historical data shows that Dollar General stock has decreased 74% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day drop of 4.2% [1][4] Group 3 - Over the past five years, Dollar General has recorded 19 earnings data points, with positive one-day returns observed only 26% of the time, dropping to 18% in the last three years [4] - The median of the five positive returns was 4.4%, while the median of the 14 negative returns was -4.2% [4] - The performance of peers can influence Dollar General's post-earnings stock reaction, with historical data indicating that pricing may begin before earnings announcements [5]

Why Dollar General might struggle Dollar General (DG -0.45%) shares have risen by 33% this year (as of Tuesday afternoon), dwarfing the comparable performance of the S&P 500 index and its 0.5% gain. Despite the volatility and uncertainty of the economy, the discount retailer has become a bit of safe haven investment to hold on to this year. A big test for the retailer will come on June 3, when the company reports its latest earnings numbers. The stock could move quickly following the release of those number ...