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中国互联网及其他服务业 - 2025 年三季度业绩前瞻-China Internet and Other Services-3Q25 Earnings Preview
2025-10-29 02:52
Summary of Earnings Preview for China Internet and Other Services Industry Overview - The report focuses on the China Internet and Other Services sector, particularly highlighting companies involved in gaming and entertainment, such as Damai Entertainment, 37 Interactive Entertainment, G-bits, Perfect World, IQIYI, JOYY, Huya, and Focus Media [2][10]. Key Company Insights Damai Entertainment (1060.HK) - Forecasted 27% YoY total revenue growth in 1HF26, driven by 90% growth in IP business and 13% growth in offline entertainment [3]. - Expected net profit growth of 45% YoY [3]. 37 Interactive Entertainment (002555.SZ) - Anticipated 14% YoY revenue growth and 30% YoY adjusted net profit growth, attributed to new game releases [4]. G-bits (603444.SS) - Forecast aligns with preliminary announcements, with a focus on deferred revenue and 2026 pipelines [4]. Perfect World (002624.SZ) - Expected 34% revenue growth with a shift from a net loss of Rmb189 in 3Q24 to a net profit of Rmb326 in 3Q25 [5]. IQIYI (IQ.O) - Total revenue expected to be largely flat QoQ (-7% YoY), with a forecasted non-GAAP operating loss of Rmb23 million [6]. - Membership revenue projected to increase by 3% QoQ [6]. JOYY (JOYY.O) - Total revenue expected to grow 6% QoQ (-4% YoY), with net income remaining flat [7]. - Focus on advertising revenue and expense control [7]. Huya (HUYA.N) - Anticipated total revenue rebound in 3Q25 with an 11% YoY increase and a narrowing net loss [7]. Focus Media (002027.SZ) - Forecasted revenue growth of 4% YoY, driven by stronger demand from internet advertisers [8]. - Expected net profit growth of 10% YoY [8]. Financial Metrics and Projections - **Damai Entertainment**: Total revenue projected at Rmb3,879 million for 1HF26, with a normalized net profit margin of 12.8% [14]. - **37IE**: Revenue expected at Rmb4,674 million for 3Q25, with a gross margin of 79% [15]. - **G-bits**: Revenue forecasted at Rmb1,631 million for 3Q25, with a gross margin of 92% [17]. - **Perfect World**: Revenue expected at Rmb1,766 million for 3Q25, with a gross margin of 65% [18]. - **IQIYI**: Total revenues projected at Rmb6,688 million for 3Q25, with a gross profit margin of 18% [20]. - **Huya**: Total revenues expected at USD 1,710 million for 3Q25, with a gross profit margin of 13% [21]. - **JOYY**: Total revenues projected at USD 537 million for 3Q25, with a gross margin of 36% [24]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of management comments on revenue growth momentum and normalized margin levels across companies [3][4][5]. - The potential for upside surprises in revenue growth for several companies, particularly in the context of new game releases and advertising demand, is highlighted [12][13]. - The overall industry view remains attractive, with a focus on the evolving landscape and potential regulatory impacts [10]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings preview, providing a comprehensive overview of the anticipated performance and strategic focus of the highlighted companies within the China Internet and Other Services sector.