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The investor behind Opendoor's 190% run nearly shut down his fund
CNBC· 2025-07-18 20:43
Core Viewpoint - Opendoor's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a recent surge attributed to hedge fund manager Eric Jackson's renewed interest and social media influence, despite the company's ongoing financial struggles and lack of fundamental improvements [2][3][4][13]. Company Overview - Opendoor proposed a reverse stock split to boost its share price, which had fallen below $1, potentially increasing the price by up to 50 times [1][13]. - The company has seen its stock price rise 189% in a week, closing at $2.25, marking its best weekly performance since going public [3]. - Opendoor's business model involves using technology to buy and sell homes, but it has faced challenges, including a significant drop in stock value from a peak of over $39 in February 2021 to $1.16 by the end of 2022 [6][7]. Financial Performance - Opendoor reported almost $370 million in losses over the past four quarters, with revenue and the number of homes sold declining in the first quarter compared to the previous year [13]. - Analysts project a more than 5% drop in revenue for the current year, followed by growth of 20% in 2026 and 12% in 2027 [15]. - Jackson's analysis anticipates $11.5 billion in revenue for 2029, significantly higher than current projections, with a forward price-to-sales ratio below 1 [16][18]. Market Position - With competitors like Zillow and Redfin exiting the instant-buying market, Opendoor faces reduced competition, allowing it to capitalize on homeowners looking to sell quickly for cash [17]. - Jackson believes that if Opendoor can achieve sustained profitability, its market valuation could increase significantly, potentially reaching $60 billion at a stock price of $82 [18]. Investor Sentiment - Jackson's influence on social media has been a key driver of Opendoor's recent stock performance, as he promotes the stock to his growing follower base [4][12]. - Despite the stock's recent rise, Jackson acknowledges the risks involved and the potential for further losses, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a good reputation in stock picking [19][20].
Opendoor Technologies Is Down 43% in 2025. Is This a Once-in-a-Lifetime Buying Opportunity Before the Stock Goes Parabolic?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-18 08:35
One of the hottest stocks of the COVID-19 pandemic was Opendoor Technologies (OPEN 10.74%). The real estate technology platform went public through a special purpose acquisition vehicle (SPAC) with a lot of hype around disrupting the buying and selling process in residential real estate. Since then, shares are down 97.5% from all-time highs. The stock is down 43% already in 2025.And yet, in the last month, Opendoor stock has begun a comeback and is up 60% from the lows. Does this make the fallen angel a onc ...
Renting Saves Over $900 a Month, But That Edge is Slipping in Most Major Metros
Prnewswire· 2025-07-17 10:00
Buying is gaining ground as the rent advantage shrinks in 37 of the 50 largest U.S. metrosAUSTIN, Texas, July 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The latest Realtor.com® Rental Report for June 2025 shows that the median asking rent for 0–2 bedrooms is down 2.1% year over year to $1,711. And, even after 23 straight months of annual declines, the U.S. median rent in June was only $48 (-2.7%) below its August 2022 peak. Compared to pre-pandemic levels, rents are still up by $268 (18.6%) over June 2019. In a twist that co ...
This Industry Leader Is Planning a Reverse Split -- Should You Invest?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-11 10:11
Core Viewpoint - Opendoor Technologies has seen a significant decline in its stock price and market cap, moving from a peak valuation of over $20 billion to approximately $413 million, indicating a loss of investor confidence in its business model [1][2]. Business Model and Market Conditions - Opendoor's primary business involves purchasing homes, making repairs, and reselling them, but recent market conditions have been unfavorable due to cooling real estate prices and rising interest rates, which have disrupted its cost structure [4][10]. - The company reported over $5 billion in revenue over the past year, but profitability has been challenging due to the slow real estate market and high interest rates, leading to a 13% decline in gross profit year over year [2][10]. Recent Developments - Opendoor announced plans for a reverse stock split to maintain its Nasdaq listing, as its share price has fallen below $1, with a proposed ratio between 1-for-10 and 1-for-50 [5][6]. - The company has shown some operational resilience, buying 3,600 homes in the first quarter, a 4% increase year over year, and selling homes for a total of $1.2 billion, exceeding its guidance [9]. Future Outlook - Management anticipates a significant revenue increase in the second quarter, projecting between $1.45 billion and $1.525 billion, along with positive adjusted EBITDA, although there are concerns about the sustainability of this growth given macroeconomic factors [11][12]. - The reverse stock split does not necessarily indicate the end for Opendoor, but the company must demonstrate a sustainable business model to regain investor confidence [13].
Does Opendoor's Business Model Have a Fatal Flaw? 1 Thing Investors Should Watch Before Buying the Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-12 07:50
Core Viewpoint - Opendoor aims to simplify the home buying and selling process but faces significant challenges, particularly related to its balance sheet and the management of its inventory [1][5]. Company Overview - Opendoor provides cash offers to home sellers, allowing for quick transactions, although these offers are typically lower than potential market prices if homes were sold traditionally [2]. - The company purchases homes, renovates them, and then sells them at market prices, leveraging its scale across 50 markets to optimize repairs and pricing [3]. Business Model and Strategy - Opendoor is currently refining its business model, focusing on buying more properties during off-peak seasons and selling during peak seasons, indicating a strategic shift in operations [4]. - The company is still in the early stages of achieving sustainable profitability, which is reflected in its current financial performance [4]. Financial Concerns - The balance sheet is a critical area of concern, as Opendoor relies heavily on debt to finance home purchases, which can lead to increased financial strain if homes do not sell quickly [5][6]. - A significant portion of Opendoor's inventory is aging, with 46% of homes on the market for over 120 days by the end of 2023, raising concerns about liquidity and potential markdowns [7][8]. Risks Associated with Debt - The use of debt to acquire illiquid assets poses a substantial risk, as prolonged holding periods can lead to increased interest expenses and missed opportunities for purchasing more easily sellable homes [8][9]. - Investors are cautioned about the implications of unsold inventory and the potential need for drastic price reductions to facilitate sales, which could adversely affect the company's financial health [7][9].