Core Insights - Hologic (HOLX) is expected to report first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 29, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated to increase by 5.8% year over year to $1.09 and revenues projected to rise by 5% to $1.07 billion [1][5] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has increased by 1 cent over the past 60 days, indicating positive sentiment [1] - Hologic has a strong earnings surprise track record, having exceeded estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 1.89% [2][3] Earnings Whisper - Hologic has an Earnings ESP of +1.97% and holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a higher likelihood of beating estimates [4] Segment Performance - The Diagnostics segment is expected to drive growth, particularly through U.S. molecular diagnostics sales and new assay clearances, with a projected 2% revenue growth year over year [6][7] - The Breast Health segment is anticipated to grow by 6.3% year over year, supported by new commercial leadership and the Endomagnetics acquisition [8] - GYN Surgical is projected to contribute significantly to revenue with an 8.8% growth, driven by strong international performance and new market expansions [9] - The Skeletal Health division is expected to see a substantial revenue increase of 27.4% year over year due to resumed shipments of Horizon DXA systems [10] Cost Considerations - Tariff-related costs are anticipated to impact margins, with management estimating a quarterly effect of approximately $10 million to $14 million [11] Acquisition Context - Hologic is currently involved in a takeover transaction valued at up to $18.3 billion by Blackstone and TPG, with a fixed cash price of $76 per share, representing a 46% premium to its May 23 closing price [12][13] Stock Performance - Hologic shares have increased by 15% over the past six months, outperforming industry peers [14] - The company is trading at a forward five-year Price/Sales (P/S) ratio of 3.85X, which is lower than the industry average [16] Investment Outlook - Hologic's consistent performance across core segments and solid earnings history suggest a compelling investment case as it continues its publicly traded phase [18]

Core Insights - Hologic's Skeletal Health division has shown significant growth, with sales increasing by 62.1% in Q3 of fiscal 2025 due to the ramp-up of Horizon DXA systems [1][9] - The company will discontinue the Fluoroscan Insight FD mini C-arm by September 30, 2025, due to its low gross margin and limited growth potential [2][9] - Hologic has revised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $4.081 billion to $4.091 billion, supported by strong Q3 performance and reduced tariff impacts [3][9] Hologic's Business Performance - The Diagnostics business is expected to benefit from strong underlying growth drivers, including BV and CV/TV molecular diagnostic assays [3] - Breast Health is anticipated to show modest growth in Q4, while Surgical revenues are expected to be strong due to favorable year-over-year comparisons [3] - Skeletal Health is projected to experience outsized growth in Q4, competing against a full quarter of DXA stop-ship from the previous year [3][4] Market Position and Competitors - Hologic's stock has increased by 11.2% over the past six months, contrasting with a 9.4% decline in the industry [7] - GE Healthcare has introduced the Voluson Performance series in women's health ultrasound, enhancing its portfolio with AI and automation [5] - Becton, Dickinson & Company has partnered with Henry Ford Health for pharmacy automation and has placed its 1,000th BD Rhapsody System at a UK hospital [6]