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ET vs. WMB: Which Oil & Gas Midstream Stock is a Smarter Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 16:51
Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil & Gas – Production & Pipelines industry is crucial for the U.S. energy security and economic stability, relying on an extensive pipeline network to transport hydrocarbons from major production regions to consumers [1] - The long-term investment outlook for the industry is positive due to steady domestic energy consumption, growth in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, and a shift from coal to natural gas by utilities [1] Regulatory and Market Position - The pipeline industry is well-positioned to benefit from regulatory support, modernization efforts, and innovations that enhance efficiency and reduce emissions [2] - U.S. pipeline infrastructure has gained strategic importance amid global energy uncertainty, particularly for supporting allies abroad [2] Company Profiles - **Energy Transfer (ET)**: A diversified midstream company with operations in crude oil, NGLs, refined products, and natural gas pipelines, along with storage and processing facilities. It has a strong presence in the Permian Basin and operates the Dakota Access Pipeline [3] - **The Williams Companies (WMB)**: A leading natural gas infrastructure provider in North America, known for its strategic assets and stable fee-based revenues, connecting major production basins to growing domestic and export markets [4] Earnings Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WMB's 2025 earnings has remained unchanged, while 2026 earnings have declined by 2.03% over the past 60 days [6] - For Energy Transfer, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has increased by 2.86% and 4.26%, respectively, in the same timeframe [10] Financial Metrics - WMB's current Return on Equity (ROE) is 15.95%, outperforming ET's ROE of 11.47% and the sector's average of 14.67% [13] - ET's debt to capital ratio is 56.43%, while WMB's is higher at 64.84%, indicating WMB has a greater debt burden [14] Capital Expenditure Plans - Energy Transfer expects growth capital expenditures of nearly $5 billion and maintenance capital expenditures of approximately $1.1 billion for 2025 [15] - WMB's maintenance capital expenditure for 2025 is estimated to be between $800 million and $900 million [16] Valuation and Price Performance - Energy Transfer is trading at a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.2X, compared to WMB's 26.88X, indicating ET is currently undervalued [17] - In the last month, Energy Transfer's units gained 6.9%, while WMB's units increased by 2.5% [18] Conclusion - Energy Transfer has a more diversified midstream portfolio and is expected to benefit from higher fee-based earnings and systematic investments [19] - The Williams Companies is positioned to benefit from rising natural gas demand driven by AI and data centers [19]