Workflow
IC package substrate
icon
Search documents
深南电路-数据中心_通信 PCB 和 BT 基板复苏带来强劲超预期表现
2025-08-31 16:21
Summary of Shennan Circuits Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuits - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and IC (Integrated Circuit) substrates manufacturing - **Market Position**: Fourth-largest PCB manufacturer globally as of 2024 [16] Key Financial Results - **Q2 2025 Revenue**: Rmb 5.7 billion, representing an increase of 18.6% QoQ and 30.1% YoY, exceeding consensus estimates by 4% and 6% [2][9] - **Net Profit**: Rmb 869 million, up 77% QoQ and 43% YoY; adjusted net profit (after non-recurring items) was Rmb 780 million, reflecting a 61% QoQ and 37% YoY increase [2][9] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Improved to 27.6%, a record high since Q3 2020, up 2.9 percentage points QoQ and 0.5 percentage points YoY [3][9] Revenue Growth Drivers - **PCB Sales Growth**: Increased by 29% YoY, driven by robust demand in data centers, wired communications, and automotive sectors [3] - **Data Center PCB**: Significant growth attributed to global AI capital expenditure upcycle, with revenue mix exceeding 25% compared to 20% in FY24 [3] - **IC Package Substrate Sales**: Rose by 9% YoY, supported by better BT substrate orders due to tight raw material supply [3] Operational Insights - **Utilization Rates**: High utilization rates for both PCB and BT substrates, with ongoing efforts to ramp up production capacity at new plants in Thailand and Nantong [4] - **Future GPM Expectations**: Anticipated recovery of GPM by 4-5 percentage points in H2 2025 [4] Market Outlook - **AI-Related Orders**: Management maintains a positive outlook for AI-related orders, particularly from North American customers, expecting data center revenue to lead growth in 2025 [4] - **Supply Constraints**: The company is currently supply-constrained for high-end PCBs, indicating potential for future growth as capacity expands [4] Investor Sentiment - **Expected Market Reaction**: Anticipated positive reaction from investors due to the earnings beat and favorable outlook for the second half of the year, following significant stock price increases since April [5] Valuation Metrics - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb 86.9 billion (approximately US$12.1 billion) [6] - **12-Month Price Target**: Rmb 171.00, with a current price of Rmb 169.50 [6][31] - **P/E Ratio (2025E)**: 34.3x, with projected EPS of Rmb 4.94 [8] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include slower-than-expected server demand, pricing pressure from clients, and longer breakeven times for new business segments [17] Conclusion Shennan Circuits demonstrated strong financial performance in Q2 2025, driven by robust demand in key sectors, particularly data centers and AI-related applications. The company is well-positioned for future growth, although it faces supply constraints and market risks that could impact its performance.