Summary of the Conference Call on China Auto Manufacturers Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Auto Manufacturers** industry, particularly the performance of **New Energy Vehicles (NEVs)** and **Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)** vehicles in January 2026. Key Points and Arguments NEV Market Performance - **NEV Sales Decline**: In January 2026, domestically produced NEV passenger vehicle (PV) sales decreased by **58% month-over-month (MoM)** and **20% year-over-year (YoY)**, slightly missing the previous expectation of **-55% MoM** [1][6] - **Market Share Gains**: Companies like **Xiaomi, Seres, Nio, and Li Auto** gained NEV market shares MoM, while traditional brands like **BYD** saw significant declines [1][2] ICE Vehicle Trends - **ICE Sales Surge**: The penetration of ICE vehicles increased to **62.6%**, a rise of **21.3 percentage points (ppt) MoM**, attributed to seasonal sales before the Chinese New Year [2][6] - **Market Share Changes**: Chinese brands' ICE market share rose by **1.4ppt MoM** to **35.7%**, while foreign brands showed mixed results [4][6] Brand-Specific Insights - **Tesla's Performance**: Tesla's domestic insurance retail sales fell by **78% MoM** and **41% YoY**, with wholesales at **69,129 units** (down **29% MoM**, up **9% YoY**) [5][22] - **BYD's Decline**: BYD's NEV sales were **104,623 units**, down **49% YoY** and **68% MoM**, resulting in a market share drop of **10.4ppt** [9][22] - **Gains by Competitors**: **Xiaomi** and **Nio** reported increases in market share, with Xiaomi gaining **4.9ppt** and Nio **2.9ppt** MoM in the BEV segment [2][3] Inventory Levels - **Inventory Increase**: The inventory of PVs increased by **1.0 month MoM** to **3.1 months**, while NEV inventory rose by **2.0 months MoM** to **3.4 months** [6][23] Market Share by Segment - **BEV Market Share**: Local Chinese brands maintained a high NEV market share of **87.1%**, while US brands dropped to **8.2%** [6][10] - **PHEV Market Dynamics**: BYD lost PHEV market share by **5.1ppt** to **43.3%**, while local competitors gained [3][6] Additional Important Insights - **Sales Recovery Expectations**: There are expectations for a sales recovery starting in March 2026, as the market adjusts post-holiday season [1][6] - **Overall Market Trends**: The data suggests a challenging environment for NEV manufacturers, with significant month-over-month declines indicating potential volatility in the market [1][6] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the current state and trends within the China auto manufacturing industry, particularly focusing on NEVs and ICE vehicles.

Summary of Key Points from China Automobiles 2026 Management Outlook Call Series Industry Overview - The call series involved discussions with six OEM companies, two suppliers, and one dealer in the Chinese automobile industry, including SAIC, GAC, Xiaomi Corp., Leapmotor, Great Wall, and Seres [1] - Four key themes emerged regarding the outlook for the Chinese auto industry in 2026: 1. Conservative views on industry volume 2. Forecasts of double-digit volume growth with a focus on overseas expansion 3. An aggressive new model pipeline, particularly in the premium segment 4. Potential pricing and margin pressures across the auto value chain [2] Company-Specific Insights Management Outlook 1. **Conservative Volume Expectations**: Management teams expect a year-over-year growth of -5% to +1% for domestic passenger vehicle retail sales in 2026, with a projected 10% increase in NEV retail sales. The total amount of auto trade-in subsidies is expected to decrease to approximately Rmb250 billion in 2026 from Rmb300 billion in 2025 [5][16] 2. **OEM Volume Growth Forecasts**: All six OEMs anticipate volume growth ranging from 11% to 68% in 2026, with a strong emphasis on overseas expansion, targeting growth rates of 19% to 108% in international markets [5][7] 3. **New Model Pipeline**: A total of 119 new models are expected to be launched in 2026, with the premium segment becoming increasingly competitive. The breakdown includes 46 models in the mass market, 37 in the mid-to-high end, and 36 in the premium market [8] Company-Specific Projections - **SAIC**: Targets over 5 million units in deliveries, implying an 11% year-over-year growth, with a focus on launching more than 10 new models overseas [15][17] - **GAC**: Expects a 20% growth in volume, driven by its own brands and exports, with plans to launch 9 new models domestically and 8 overseas [20] - **Xiaomi**: Aims for 550,000 units in deliveries, a 34% increase from 2025, supported by new model launches and increased manufacturing capacity [19][21] - **Leapmotor**: Targets 1 million units in 2026, with a focus on NEV penetration reaching 60% [22] - **Great Wall**: Projects 1.8 million units in deliveries, a 50% increase from 2025, with limited price competition expected overseas [8] Market Dynamics - **Domestic Market Pressures**: The domestic market is expected to face contraction in profit pools, with a forecast of 23 million passenger vehicle retail sales (-2% year-over-year) and 14 million NEV retail sales (+11% year-over-year) [7] - **Export Opportunities**: The export market is seen as a bright spot, with an estimated 7.4 million passenger vehicle exports (+10% year-over-year), primarily driven by NEV exports [7] - **Pricing and Margin Pressures**: OEMs are facing gross profit margin pressures due to factors such as purchase tax refunds and the launch of lower-priced models. Suppliers expect to maintain stable margins despite these pressures [8] Additional Insights - **Technological Developments**: GAC is collaborating with CATL to develop solid-state battery technology, with expectations for mass production by 2027-28 [20] - **Market Competition**: The premium segment is becoming more crowded, with significant competition expected in the Rmb250k-300k price range [8] This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections from the China Automobiles 2026 Management Outlook Call Series, highlighting the cautious yet ambitious outlook of various companies within the industry.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on China Auto Manufacturers Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Auto Manufacturers** industry, particularly the performance of **New Energy Vehicles (NEVs)** and traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles in October 2025. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **NEV Market Performance**: - October 2025 saw a **-8% month-over-month (MoM)** decline in domestically produced NEV passenger vehicle (NEV-PV) sales, although there was a **+1% year-over-year (YoY)** increase, which missed expectations [1][9]. - Local Chinese brands maintained a high NEV market share of **84.3%**, increasing by **+1.2 percentage points (ppt) MoM** [6]. 2. **ICE Vehicle Sales**: - The penetration of ICE vehicles increased to **42.4%**, up **+0.8 ppt MoM** [2]. - Chinese brands' ICE market share rose by **+1.7 ppt MoM** to **35.4%**, while foreign brands (German, Japanese, US) experienced declines [3]. 3. **Market Share Changes**: - **Xiaomi, Nio, and Seres** gained BEV market shares with increases of **+1.3 ppt, +1.0 ppt, and +0.8 ppt** respectively, while **Tesla and BYD** lost market shares of **-4.9 ppt and -2.6 ppt** [2]. - **Geely and Chery** gained PHEV market shares by **+1.2 ppt and +0.3 ppt** respectively, while **GWM and BYD** lost shares [2]. 4. **Tesla's Performance**: - Tesla's domestic insurance retail sales dropped **-61% MoM** and **-34% YoY** to **27,367 units**. Wholesales were **61,497 units**, down **-32% MoM** and **-10% YoY** [4][19]. - Tesla's inventory levels increased, indicating potential overstock issues [5]. 5. **Inventory Levels**: - Overall inventory for major OEMs rose from **2.3 months** at the end of September to **2.7 months** at the end of October [5]. - NEV inventory also increased by **0.3 months MoM** to **1.7 months** [5]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Export Performance**: - The export volume of NEVs reached **35,491 units**, reflecting a **+84% MoM** and **+28% YoY** increase, indicating strong international demand [4]. 2. **Sales Data**: - Total domestically produced NEV PV sales for October 2025 were **1,189,321 units**, with a **1% YoY increase** but an **8% MoM decrease** [9]. 3. **Market Dynamics**: - The competitive landscape is shifting, with local brands gaining ground against established players like Tesla and BYD, suggesting a potential long-term trend favoring domestic manufacturers [2][3]. 4. **Analyst Certification and Disclosures**: - The report includes important disclosures regarding potential conflicts of interest and the analysts' certifications, emphasizing the need for investors to consider these factors in their decision-making [7][26]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current state and trends within the Chinese auto manufacturing industry, particularly focusing on NEVs and ICE vehicles.