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Trump's Whiplash Iran Rhetoric Keeps Oil Bulls in Control
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 15:52
Group 1: Oil Market Dynamics - Rising supply concerns were overshadowed by U.S. rhetoric on Iran and weather-related disruptions, keeping risk premiums elevated [1] - Trump's fluctuating statements regarding Iran have supported oil prices, with Brent ending the week above $70 per barrel despite Kazakhstan's returning production [2] - The Trump administration lifted most sanctions on Venezuela's oil industry, coinciding with the Venezuelan Parliament's approval of a new hydrocarbons law [3] Group 2: International Oil Trade Developments - Reliance Industries in India will resume imports of Russian Urals crude, expecting inflows of up to 150,000 b/d due to weak European demand [4] - The Mozambique LNG project, led by TotalEnergies, has officially resumed after a four-year hiatus, aiming for a potential launch in 2030 [5] - Carlyle Group has agreed to acquire most of Lukoil's international assets for $22 billion, pending U.S. Treasury approval [6] Group 3: Operational Challenges - Mexico's Dos Bocas refinery was forced to halt operations due to a power failure, attributed to a technical issue with its catalytic converter [7] Group 4: Emerging Trade Relationships - Petrobras signed three term supply agreements with Indian refiners totaling 60 million barrels, reflecting a growing trade relationship between India and Brazil [9] Group 5: Commodity Price Movements - Tightening tungsten inventories have driven prices to record highs, with ammonium paratungstate trading at $1,150 per metric tonne in China, influenced by export controls and defense industry demand [8]
Oil Prices Drop to $59 on Gaza Ceasefire and Trump's China Tariff Threat
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-11 07:30
Oil Market Insights - WTI crude prices have fallen below $60 per barrel due to easing tensions in the Middle East and weak sentiment between China and the U.S., which has diminished the geopolitical risk premium associated with oil [1] - The successful implementation of the Israel-Gaza ceasefire has contributed to lower geopolitical risk premiums in oil futures, with ICE Brent prices dropping below $64 per barrel [2] - Analysts indicate that ongoing tensions between China and the U.S. are not providing bullish momentum for crude oil, with potential impacts on global trade expected in 2026 if sanctions continue [2] Precious Metals - Silver prices have reached an all-time high of $49.55 per ounce, surpassing the previous record from 1980, driven by safe-haven demand and support from central bank purchases and renewable energy demand [3] Corporate Developments - Cenovus Energy has raised its bid for MEG Energy to $6.2 billion, marking the offer as its 'best and final' in response to a competing bid from Strathcona Resources [4] - Brazil's Petrobras has reported a new offshore oil discovery in the pre-salt Campos Basin, striking oil in the Agua Marinha block at depths exceeding 2,600 meters, in collaboration with TotalEnergies, Petronas, and QatarEnergy [5] - Mexico's government has removed restrictions on Pemex, granting the company full market control in the energy sector, including the elimination of regulations on sales prices for transportation fuels [6] - Trinidad and Tobago received a six-month sanctions waiver from the U.S. to develop the Dragon gas field, with Shell aiming for production of 0.35 BCf/d by the end of 2026 [7] - Chevron plans to begin drilling the Korikori-1 exploration well in Suriname's Block 5 by the end of October, enhancing the country's project portfolio following TotalEnergies' approval of the $12 billion Gran Morgu project [8] - Venture Global's shares fell by 15% after an arbitration court found the company in breach of obligations to BP regarding liquefied gas delivery from the Calcasieu Pass project [9]