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Morgan Stanley Double-Downgrades DELL as Rising Memory Costs Hit Margins
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-21 14:14
Core Viewpoint - Dell Technologies Inc. has been downgraded by Morgan Stanley from "overweight" to "underweight," with a new price target set at $110, down from $144, due to pressures from rising memory costs and AI server mix impacting margins and valuation [1][2]. Group 1: Rating Changes and Price Target - Morgan Stanley has double downgraded Dell to "underweight" from "overweight" and reduced its price target to $110 from $144 [1][2]. - The firm previously upgraded Dell to "overweight" in May 2023 and selected it as a top IT hardware pick in September 2023, citing underappreciation of Dell's Gen AI opportunities [2]. Group 2: Margin and Earnings Impact - Dell is experiencing significant margin pressure due to rising memory costs, with the firm reducing FY27 gross and operating margins by approximately 150–220 basis points and EPS by about 12% [3]. - The stock has been identified as one of the hardest hit in the OEM universe from rising memory costs, particularly due to its product mix [3]. Group 3: Market Conditions - Over the past six months, spot prices for NAND flash and dynamic random-access memory products have surged by as much as 50% and 300%, respectively, which will heavily impact Dell's cost structure [3]. - The firm believes that while Dell has potential as an investment, other AI stocks may offer better upside potential with less downside risk [4].
Raymond James Stays Bullish on Dell (DELL) Following Upbeat Analyst Meeting in New York
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-14 20:38
Core Viewpoint - Dell Technologies Inc. is experiencing significant growth in its AI activities, leading to an upward revision of its sales and earnings growth targets, despite modest margins potentially limiting valuation compared to peers [2][3]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Raymond James analyst Simon Leopold reiterated an Outperform rating on Dell's stock with a price target of $152.00 following the company's securities analyst meeting in New York [1]. - The stock initially saw a ~3% increase in intraday trading, although it later settled at a 1% gain [3]. Group 2: Financial Outlook and Growth Projections - Dell's management has increased its long-term EPS growth outlook to over 15%, nearly double the sales growth rate, driven by strong AI activity that exceeded previous forecasts [2][3]. - The long-term revenue growth outlook has improved from 3-4% to 7-9%, with an increased growth target for the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) while the Client Solutions Group (CSG) outlook remains unchanged [3]. Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Despite the positive outlook, investors are cautious due to Dell's modest gross and operating margins, which may lead to a lower stock multiple compared to IT/networking peers [2][3].