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Patria(PAX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's assets under management (AUM) exceeded $50 billion, representing a growth of over 3.5 times since the IPO in 2021 [4] - Year-to-date organic fundraising reached $6 billion, with a strong Q3 contribution of $1.5 billion, positioning the company to exceed its full-year target of $6.6 billion [5][11] - Fee-earning AUM grew to $38.8 billion, reflecting a 4% sequential increase and a 14% year-over-year growth [8][19] - Fee-related earnings (FRE) for Q3 2025 were reported at $49.5 million, up 22% year-over-year and 7% sequentially, with a per-share increase of 8% sequentially and 19% year-over-year [8][23] - Distributable earnings reached $46.9 million, or $0.30 per share, marking a 31% year-over-year increase [9][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The infrastructure and credit businesses led the organic fundraising efforts, contributing significantly to the overall growth [5][12] - The infrastructure fund 5 raised $2.9 billion, making it the largest dedicated infrastructure fund in Latin America, with a 40% increase compared to the previous vintage [12] - The credit business surpassed total 2024 fundraising by nearly 15%, raising $1.6 billion year-to-date [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a trend of global investors seeking exposure to non-U.S. markets due to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, which is expected to support fundraising efforts [11] - The company is experiencing increased interest in infrastructure investments in Latin America, benefiting from its position as a leading infrastructure investor in the region [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to diversify and grow its business both organically and inorganically, with a focus on expanding its investment strategies and geographic footprint [17][36] - The company plans to resume acquisition efforts in late 2025 or 2026 after a pause to integrate previous acquisitions and demonstrate organic growth [34][35] - The company is particularly interested in credit and real estate asset classes for future acquisitions, with a focus on expanding its U.S. presence [36][37] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in exceeding the high end of the 2025 fundraising target and anticipates a strong performance in Q4, driven by incentive fees and increased management fees from fundraising [39][41] - The company expects to generate approximately $15 million in performance-related earnings in Q4 2025, with potential for more realizations from its infrastructure fund [10][49] - The management highlighted a favorable regulatory environment in Brazil for data centers, which could lead to significant investment opportunities [42][45] Other Important Information - The company has a share repurchase program authorized for up to 3 million shares, with a total return swap in place for 1.5 million shares [9][28] - The effective tax rate for Q3 was 3.3%, with expectations for it to hover around 10% annually in the coming years [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company thinking about the pacing of capital deployment with $3.2 billion in pending fee-earning AUM? - Management indicated that most of the pending fee-earning AUM will be deployed over the next 12 to 18 months, primarily in infrastructure investments [31][32] Question: What is the company's strategy for inorganic growth moving forward? - Management stated that they plan to restart acquisition efforts in late 2025 or 2026, focusing on credit and real estate asset classes, with a particular interest in expanding in the U.S. [34][36] Question: Can you provide an update on the FRE guidance for this year? - Management expects to surpass the $200 million FRE target, primarily driven by anticipated incentive fees and increased management fees from fundraising [39][41] Question: What is the mechanism behind the total return swap mentioned in the call? - Management explained that the total return swap involves purchasing shares on behalf of the company, which will be settled by mid-2026 [28]