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Canadian National Railway pany(CNI) - 2025 H2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-19 02:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The group reported a 6.4% increase in operating NPAT to AUD 100.8 million, translating to an operating EPS of 12.2 cents per security, and distributions of 10.4 cents per security, both up 4% from the previous year [22][21] - Statutory NPAT was AUD 82.7 million, lower than operating NPAT due to fair valuation impacts of property investments [22] - FY '26 operating EPS guidance is set at 13.4 cents, indicating a significant increase from the current year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Property Funds Management segment delivered an operating EBITDA of AUD 59.6 million, up from AUD 57.9 million last year, reflecting resilience despite a subdued transactional environment [24] - The Property Investment segment contributed a consolidated EBITDA of AUD 87.7 million, an increase from the prior year [25] - Centuria Bass Credit generated AUD 27 million in operating EBITDA, with AUM expanding over 21% year-on-year to AUD 2.3 billion [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Centuria's transactional activity totaled close to AUD 3 billion, including approximately AUD 500 million of acquisitions and AUD 630 million of real estate finance transactions [10] - The group maintained a high portfolio occupancy rate of 95% with a robust average lease term of 5.3 years [10] - The unlisted platform's performance fees amounted to AUD 7 million booked to P&L, with AUD 32 million collected from divestments [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to target over AUD 1 billion in real estate acquisitions in FY '26, focusing on alternative property markets and innovative fund structures [4][35] - The introduction of Reset Data is expected to contribute to earnings growth, with anticipated revenue generation from its AI marketplace and AI factory starting in FY '26 [4][18] - Centuria plans to continue proactive capital management and seek new lower-cost corporate debt sources [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the improving real estate investment environment due to falling cash rates and increasing transaction volumes [6][35] - The company anticipates a continued increase in investor appetite for real estate funds, driven by lower competing deposit and fixed interest rate returns [7][35] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity to support growth initiatives [29][30] Other Important Information - Centuria's net asset value per security remained steady at AUD 1.79, with operating gearing at 12.3% [29] - The company has raised an additional AUD 100 million in liquidity and expects to repay its secured ASX listed redeemable notes ahead of maturity [30] - The weighted average debt duration has been extended from 2.3 years to 3.2 years, enhancing financial stability [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about payout ratio and DPS guidance - Management acknowledged that their payout ratio has been higher than peers and indicated a minor adjustment to address this, but did not commit to future forecasts [42][44] Question: Clarification on the AUD 1 billion acquisition guidance - The AUD 1 billion figure is a gross number, with approximately AUD 200 million already secured from a recent acquisition [45][46] Question: Potential implications of proportional consolidation of earnings - Management indicated that while there could be implications, they believe the new reporting structure aligns better with peers and enhances transparency [48][50] Question: Guidance on innovative fund structures and potential IPOs - Management confirmed that guidance includes a range of raisings, with ongoing work on new fund structures, but specifics on sectors for potential IPOs are still being developed [51][54] Question: Equity inflows and mix for FY '26 - Management expects a good mix of retail and institutional capital, with a focus on expanding institutional partnerships [58] Question: Competition in the Bass Credit market - Management acknowledged increased competition and margin pressure but noted a recent uptick in market activity [60]