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Globalstar Bets on XCOM RAN: Could This Be the Next Big Growth Driver?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-29 13:05
Core Insights - Globalstar, Inc. is strategically investing in XCOM's Radio Access Network (RAN) technology to enhance its growth potential, with the XCOM RAN expected to deliver at least 4 times higher capacity than standard 5G NR systems [1][9]. Company Developments - In December 2024, Globalstar successfully conducted its first 5G data call using XCOM RAN over the n53 spectrum, achieving downlink speeds of 100 Mbps and uplink speeds of 60 Mbps, demonstrating the technology's capability for mission-critical applications [2]. - The company is advancing its software-defined, end-to-end XCOM RAN solution, which offers lower latency, greater spectral efficiency, and dynamic spectrum sharing, potentially broadening its addressable market [3]. - Globalstar invested significantly in the development of XCOM RAN in Q2, which increased cash costs and pressured adjusted EBITDA by approximately $1.9 million, resulting in a 300 basis point reduction in adjusted EBITDA margin compared to the previous year [4]. - For 2025, Globalstar anticipates revenues between $260 million and $285 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins around 50% [5]. Industry Context - The satellite and communications sector is experiencing intense competition due to rapid technological advancements and new entrants, with companies like Iridium Communications and Gilat Satellite Networks expanding their addressable markets [6]. - Iridium is focusing on building a next-generation network in the 2030s to provide 5G/6G services directly to consumer devices, while also enhancing its role in global positioning and navigation [7]. - Gilat is well-positioned to benefit from rising global demand for defense SATCOM, with significant contracts secured from the Israeli Ministry of Defense and the U.S. Army [10]. Financial Performance - Globalstar's stock has increased by 83.9% over the past year, compared to the Zacks Satellite and Communication industry's growth of 129.5% [12]. - The company's shares are trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 14.32X, significantly higher than the industry's 1.37X [13]. - Earnings estimates for Globalstar have been revised upward, with a 77.1% increase for 2025 earnings to a projected loss of 8 cents per share [14].