Workflow
Juanicipio project
icon
Search documents
Can Pan American Silver Close Its MAG Silver Deal This Quarter?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-22 15:06
Core Insights - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is close to finalizing its $2.1 billion acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. (MAG), with all major approvals received except for Mexico's Federal Economic Competition Commission (COFECE) [1][8] - The acquisition focuses on MAG's 44% stake in the Juanicipio project, recognized as the world's largest-scale, highest-grade, and lowest-cost primary silver mine [2][8] - Juanicipio is projected to produce 14.7-16.7 million ounces of silver in 2025, contributing approximately 6.5-7.3 million ounces to PAAS's total output [3][8] Production and Cost Impact - The Juanicipio project is expected to significantly reduce PAAS's all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for silver, with current AISC reported at $19.69 per ounce and a guidance of $16.25-$18.25 for 2025 [4][8] - The acquisition will add 58 million ounces to PAAS's proven and probable silver reserves, which were 468 million ounces as of June 30, 2024, and is expected to generate $98 million in free cash flow this year, growing by 23% over the next three years [5] Market Activity and Performance - Recent consolidation in the silver mining sector includes First Majestic Silver's acquisition of Gatos Silver and Coeur Mining's acquisition of Silvercrest, enhancing their respective portfolios [6] - Year-to-date, PAAS shares have increased by 58.5%, outperforming the industry growth of 48.6% and the Basic Materials sector's rise of 14.3% [7] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - PAAS is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings multiple of 14.35X, below the industry average of 16.95X [10] - The consensus estimate for PAAS's 2025 earnings is $1.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 150.6%, with a further increase to $2.38 expected in 2026 [11]