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Fashion Wins at Dillard's: Will Category Gains Be Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:46
Core Insights - Fashion has become a significant growth area for Dillard's Inc. (DDS), enabling the company to achieve category-level gains despite a challenging retail environment [1][2] - Dillard's reported a 3% increase in total retail sales and comparable-store sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, indicating steady customer engagement [2][10] - The company's merchandising strategy, which focuses on curated assortments and higher-margin private labels, has been a key driver of recent fashion momentum [3][4] Sales Performance - Dillard's experienced strong gains in women's apparel, dresses, occasion wear, juniors', children's apparel, accessories, and lingerie [10] - The company expanded its gross margin, with additional gains in shoes, men's apparel, home goods, furniture, and cosmetics [10] Market Position - Dillard's has outperformed many traditional department store peers, suggesting that its disciplined assortment planning and brand relevance resonate well with consumers [2][5] - The company's shares have increased by 54.6% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 52.6% [6] Valuation Metrics - Dillard's trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6X, which is higher than the industry's 15.30X multiple [9] Future Outlook - The sustainability of the current demand for discretionary items is uncertain due to inflation and economic factors, but Dillard's focused merchandising and inventory management position it well for near-term challenges [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year decline in earnings for fiscal 2025 and 2026, but estimates have been revised upward in the past 30 days [13]