(Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)Getty ImagesDeal OverviewAccording to media publications on July 11, 2025, The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC, $27.58, Market Capitalization: $32.64 billion), a leading global packaged food company, is contemplating spinning-off its grocery business while retaining its high growth condiments and sauces segment. As per market estimates, the spin-off entity would command a valuation $20 billion, on favorable turnaround of business prospects.The Kraft Heinz Price ...

Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz is considering a spinoff of a significant portion of its grocery business due to changing consumer preferences towards healthier, less processed foods, which could create a new entity valued at up to $20 billion [1][7]. Company Strategy - The remaining Kraft Heinz entity would focus on sauces and condiments, including well-known brands like Heinz ketchup and Grey Poupon [2]. - Executives believe that separating the two units could enhance overall market value, potentially exceeding the current $31 billion market cap [3]. Financial Performance - Kraft Heinz has struggled to meet expectations since its 2015 merger, with little sales growth and declining profits, resulting in a stock price drop of over 60%, equating to a loss of approximately $57 billion in market value [11][16]. - The company reported around $28 billion in annual revenue at the time of the merger, but by 2019, it faced rising costs and a $15 billion write-down related to its Kraft and Oscar Mayer brands [8][9]. Market Response - Following news of the potential spinoff, Kraft Heinz shares surged nearly 4%, trading around $27 [2]. - The stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking near $96 in early 2017 and recently opening at $26.90, just above its 52-week low [12]. Strategic Considerations - Kraft Heinz is evaluating various strategic transactions to unlock shareholder value, with discussions ongoing but no final decisions made yet [4][14]. - The company has also been exploring the sale of underperforming brands, including Oscar Mayer and Maxwell House, but these efforts have not yet succeeded [13].

Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz has experienced significant stock underperformance since its 2015 merger, with a 60% decline compared to the S&P 500's 155% return, despite being a strong consumer staple with consistent cash flows and dividends [1][2] Financial Performance - Kraft Heinz's 2024 organic net sales fell by 2.1% to $25.9 billion, but adjusted earnings per share slightly increased to $3.06, indicating maintained margins [3] - The company's free cash flow for 2024 increased by 7% to $3.2 billion, funding $1.9 billion in dividends and $1.0 billion in share repurchases, resulting in Berkshire Hathaway earning $521 million in annual dividend income from its stake [7] Investment Considerations - The stock is trading at less than 10 times 2024 adjusted earnings, suggesting it may be undervalued, which could explain Warren Buffett's continued holding [3][4] - Despite the attractive dividend yield over 5%, concerns arise regarding the erosion of Kraft Heinz's brand value amid changing consumer preferences and inflation [4][5] Strategic Partnerships and Management - Berkshire Hathaway's partnership with 3G Capital, known for aggressive cost-cutting, has not yielded expected financial results, with annual sales down 2% since 2016 [5] - The presence of former Berkshire subsidiaries on Kraft's board may influence management decisions, potentially leading to a more patient investment approach from Buffett [6] Market Opportunities - Kraft Heinz is experiencing growth in emerging markets, with sales up 4% last year, and its Heinz ketchup brand has seen over $600 million in sales growth in the last two years [9] - Management identifies a $4 billion opportunity to further increase sales through enhanced brand awareness [9] Future Outlook - Management's guidance indicates a potential adjusted sales decline of up to 2.5% in 2025, raising concerns about further stock price declines [11] - There are alternative dividend stocks within Berkshire's portfolio, such as Coca-Cola, that are showing stronger growth prospects for 2025 and beyond [11]