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ATI(ATI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 7% year over year, exceeding $1.1 billion [3][4] - Adjusted EPS was $0.85, $0.10 above the high end of the projected range [3] - Adjusted EBITDA totaled $225 million, with $215 million excluding oil and gas rights, exceeding guidance by $5 million [4][14] - Adjusted EBITDA margin exceeded 20%, the highest since the pandemic [3][4] - Cash generated from operations year to date reached $299 million, a $273 million improvement from last year [4][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC) segment margins were above 24% [4][15] - Advanced Alloys & Solutions (AANS) segment margins improved to 17.3% [15] - Aerospace and Defense (A&D) revenue rose 21% year over year, now accounting for 70% of total revenue [5][11] - Jet engine revenue grew 19% year over year, representing 39% of total revenue [5][6] - Airframe sales grew 9% year over year, supported by Boeing and Airbus production ramps [6][7] - Defense revenue increased 51% year over year, reflecting broad-based strength across various programs [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Jet engine MRO represented about 50% of total engine sales, indicating strong aftermarket demand [5][39] - Boeing's production rate increased to 42 per month for the 737, and Airbus targets 75 per month by 2027 [7] - Defense markets are expected to continue strong growth, with three consecutive years of double-digit growth [9][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Company strategy focuses on differentiated, high-value materials, with 70% of revenue from aerospace and defense [11][20] - Investments in nickel and titanium capacity are aimed at expanding competitive advantages without negatively impacting pricing [12][20] - Operational excellence and disciplined execution are emphasized to drive productivity and margin expansion [9][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects strong demand in core markets, particularly in aerospace and defense, to continue through 2026 [5][28] - The company is well-positioned for continued share gains and profitable growth through the aerospace cycle [6][11] - Management highlighted the importance of long-term agreements and customer partnerships in supporting growth [11][20] Other Important Information - The company plans to raise full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA to between $848 million and $858 million [4][16] - Cash generated from sales of non-core assets totaled approximately $30 million year to date [17] - The CFO is set to retire after the fourth quarter, with a search for a successor underway [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What changed since Q2 to drive the revised outlook and guidance increase? - Management noted stronger than expected A&D performance, particularly in defense, contributing to the guidance increase [26][27] Question: What are you doing to manage melt capacity? - The company is focusing on productivity, reliability, and higher melt yields to meet record demand for premium nickel alloys [29][30] Question: What is the status of the zirconium supply chain? - The supply chain for zirconium products remains stable, with stockpiles built to manage potential disruptions [63][65] Question: How do you anticipate growth in the specialty energy market? - Growth is expected to accelerate in the specialty energy market, particularly in gas turbine and nuclear applications [82][84]
Buy the Dip in GE Aerospace or Netflix Stock After Q3 Earnings?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-22 23:01
Core Insights - Discussion around buying the post-earnings dip in GE Aerospace and Netflix shares after their Q3 reports is gaining traction, especially given their impressive stock gains of around +300% over the last three years [1] GE Aerospace - GE Aerospace's Q3 sales surged 26% to $11.3 billion from $8.94 billion year-over-year, driven by LEAP engine sales [2] - Earnings for GE Aerospace soared 44% to $1.66 per share, exceeding the Zacks EPS Consensus of $1.46 by 14% [2] - The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, now expecting adjusted EPS between $6.00-$6.20, up from a previous forecast of $5.90, and projecting mid-teens revenue growth [4] Netflix - Netflix's Q3 sales increased 17% to $11.51 billion from $9.82 billion year-over-year, but slightly missed estimates of $11.52 billion [3] - The company faced a $400 million non-recurring tax expense due to a dispute in Brazil, resulting in Q3 EPS of $5.87, which was 15% below expectations of $6.89 [3] - Netflix raised its full-year revenue growth forecast to approximately 16% from a previous estimate of 14% and increased its operating margin forecast from 21% to 22% [4] Valuation Metrics - GE Aerospace and Netflix are trading at notable premiums to the broader market, with forward P/E ratios of 52X and 47X, respectively [6] - Netflix has a high cash flow per share ratio of 59X, while GE Aerospace's ratio of 8X is above the S&P 500 average of 6X [7] Market Sentiment - Both GE Aerospace and Netflix currently hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a cautious outlook despite their strong performance and raised guidance [8] - The trend of earnings estimate revisions following their Q3 reports is expected to be positive, particularly for GE Aerospace [9]