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GoPro Shares Jump 93% in 6 Months: Is the Upside Sustainable in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-01-05 14:56
Core Insights - GoPro, Inc. (GPRO) has experienced a significant stock increase of 93.2% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Audio-Video Production industry's growth of 2% and the Consumer Discretionary market's decline of 7.9% [1] - The company's strategic shift towards being recognized as a technology and data platform rather than just a camera manufacturer has been a major factor in this stock rally [1][9] Financial Performance - GPRO has surpassed several competitors, including Sony Group Corporation (SONY), Dolby Laboratories (DLB), and Sonos Inc. (SONO), with SONY and SONO rising by 2.3% and 62.1%, respectively, while DLB saw a decline of 15% [2] - The stock reached a 52-week high of $3.05 [2] - GoPro's subscription business is expected to see a reacceleration in revenue growth in 2026, supported by higher camera sales and new features [6] Product Development - GoPro has launched three new hardware products: the MAX2 360 camera, the LIT HERO camera, and the Fluid Pro AI gimbal, aimed at expanding its total addressable market (TAM) and reducing reliance on its core HERO lineup [4][9] - The MAX2 360 camera offers True 8K video and durable, replaceable lenses, while the LIT HERO is a compact, waterproof lifestyle camera [4] - The company has enhanced its software ecosystem with new AI-powered features across various platforms, including DaVinci Resolve and the Quik app [5] Market Position and Challenges - Retail remains the dominant channel for GoPro, accounting for 75% of total revenue in the third quarter, although retail revenue fell by 41% year over year [7] - The company anticipates a decline in fourth-quarter sell-through by 18% year over year, impacting top-line growth [11] - GoPro faces intense competition from established brands like Canon and Nikon, as well as lower-cost alternatives from companies such as Sony and Xiaomi [12] Valuation - GPRO is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.29, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.97, indicating a potential undervaluation [14] - Competitors like SONY, DLB, and SONO are trading at multiples of 1.98, 4.29, and 1.39, respectively [15] Strategic Outlook - Management has indicated progress towards restoring growth and profitability through new product launches and improved cash flow [16] - Despite reporting net losses, the company is focusing on improving margins and maintaining disciplined cost reduction strategies [16]
GoPro's Q3 Loss Wider Than Expected, Revenues Fall Y/Y, Stock Down
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:40
Core Insights - GoPro, Inc. reported a non-GAAP loss per share of 9 cents for Q3 2025, which was wider than the consensus estimate of a 3-cent loss, and the company anticipates a non-GAAP adjusted loss of 4 cents per share for the upcoming quarter [1][8] - Revenue for the quarter was $162.9 million, reflecting a 37.1% year-over-year decline, but it was within the company's expectations and slightly above the consensus mark [1][4] Financial Performance - GoPro sold 500,000 camera units in Q3 2025, down 18% year over year [4] - Revenue from GoPro.com was $40 million, accounting for 25% of total revenues, which is a 22% decline year over year [4] - Subscription and service revenue reached $27 million, down 3% year over year, with a subscriber base of 2.42 million, marking a 5% decline [4] - Retail channel revenues were $123 million, representing 75% of total revenues, down 41% year over year [5] - Region-wise, revenues from the Americas decreased by 16%, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa by 42%, and the Asia Pacific region by 66% [5] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 35.2%, slightly down from 35.6% in the previous year, with an operating loss of $11 million compared to an operating income of $1 million in the prior year [6] Product Development and Market Strategy - During Q3, GoPro launched three new hardware products: the MAX2 360 camera, LIT HERO camera, and Fluid Pro AI gimbal, aimed at expanding its total addressable market [2][16] - The subscription attach rate for cameras sold reached 57%, the highest since the company returned to a retail-focused strategy in May 2023, compared to 45% in the same period of 2024 [9] Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, GoPro projects revenues of $220 million, implying a 10% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of guidance [11] - Non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be around 32%, down from 35.1% the previous year, primarily due to tariff impacts [12] - The company anticipates achieving year-over-year growth in both units and revenue each quarter in 2026, with adjusted EBITDA projected to exceed $40 million [14]