LNG and NGL infrastructure

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Why Now is the Right Time to Hold Pembina Pipeline Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-03-05 13:55
Core Viewpoint - Pembina Pipeline Corporation (PBA) is a significant player in North America's energy infrastructure, operating a comprehensive network of pipelines and processing facilities that support the hydrocarbon value chain [1][2][3] Financial Performance - PBA achieved record financial results in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $4.41 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase [4] - The company generates over 80% of its revenues from fee-based contracts, enhancing earnings stability and dividend security [4] - PBA maintains a low debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.5x, indicating strong financial discipline and growth capacity [4] Revenue Model - Approximately 70% of PBA's earnings are derived from long-term take-or-pay or cost-of-service contracts, ensuring predictable revenue streams [5][6] - The company's ongoing pipeline expansions and asset acquisitions further strengthen its contract base, providing confidence in earnings durability [6] Market Expansion - PBA is strategically investing in LNG and NGL infrastructure, including the Cedar LNG project and Redwater Fractionation expansions, to capitalize on growing global demand [7] - The Cedar LNG project, expected to be operational by late 2028, is supported by long-term contracts, mitigating market risk [7] - PBA's exports of LPG and propane to international markets contribute to volume growth and margin expansion [7] Growth Catalysts - The expansion of production in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin positions PBA to benefit from increased demand for natural gas, NGLs, and condensate [8] - Key projects like the Peace Pipeline expansion and Nipisi reactivation will accommodate rising supply, ensuring PBA's role as a critical service provider [8] Competitive Position - PBA's integrated infrastructure, including pipelines, processing facilities, and storage terminals, enhances operational flexibility and provides a competitive advantage [9] - The diversified asset base reduces dependency on single points of failure, ensuring continued revenue generation across various energy segments [9] Recent Stock Performance - PBA's share price has decreased by 5.8% over the past six months, contrasting with a 15.4% increase in its Production and Pipelines sub-industry [14]