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Dillard's Stock Rises 13% in a Month: Buy Now or Wait for a Pullback?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 15:00
Core Insights - Dillard's Inc. (DDS) has demonstrated strong investor confidence, with a stock appreciation of 12.7% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.2% rise but lagging behind the broader retail industry's 15.1% gain [1][7][9] Stock Performance - DDS stock is currently priced at $687.26, which is 6.8% lower than its 52-week high of $737.73 reached on November 13, 2025, indicating potential for further upside [3] - The stock trades above its 50- and 200-day moving averages, reflecting robust upward momentum and price stability [4][7] Financial Performance - In Q3 fiscal 2025, Dillard's reported a 3% increase in total retail sales and comparable store sales, driven by strength in apparel and accessories [9][10] - The company has shown margin expansion, particularly in high-turn categories like accessories and shoes, indicating effective inventory management and a strong full-price selling environment [11] Strategic Positioning - Dillard's maintains a premium, service-focused in-store experience, differentiating itself from competitors that are shifting towards discounting [12] - The company is optimizing its store footprint by selectively closing underperforming locations, which helps protect profitability [12] Operational Execution - Investments in modernizing systems and maintaining lean inventory levels have supported stable merchandise margins, enhancing operational execution [13] - The rise in operating cash flow provides Dillard's with flexibility to invest in digital experiences and store upgrades [13] Future Outlook - Dillard's outlook is positive as it approaches the holiday season, with management expressing optimism about customer demand and stable expense levels [14] - The company's strong fundamentals and strategic clarity position it well to navigate macroeconomic challenges [14] Valuation - Dillard's trades at a forward 12-month P/E of 22.30X, higher than the industry average of 16.70X, reflecting market confidence in its execution and profitability [15][16] - The premium valuation underscores the company's ability to outperform in a challenging retail environment [16] Investment Considerations - Dillard's strong fundamentals and disciplined operational strategy make it a robust player in the retail sector, justifying investor confidence despite its higher valuation [18] - New investors may consider waiting for a potential pullback to enter at a more attractive price, while existing shareholders might look to lock in profits [19]
Dillard's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Comparable Store Sales Rise 3%
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 15:25
Core Insights - Dillard's Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results with both earnings and sales exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][2][9] Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) reached $8.31, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.43, and increased by 7.5% from $7.73 in the same quarter last year [1][9] - Net sales amounted to $1.469 billion, a 2.9% increase from the prior-year quarter, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.425 billion [2][9] - Total retail sales (excluding CDI Contractors, LLC) rose 3.3% year over year to $1.401 billion, with comparable sales also increasing by 3% [3][9] Category Performance - Strong sales growth was observed in ladies' accessories and lingerie, juniors' and children's apparel, and ladies' apparel, while shoes saw moderate growth [3] - Home and furniture, men's apparel and accessories, and cosmetics experienced slight growth [3] Margin and Expenses - Consolidated gross margin expanded by 80 basis points to 43.4%, with retail gross margin also increasing by 80 basis points to 45.3% [4][9] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) as a percentage of sales were 30%, up 60 basis points from the prior year, with total SG&A expenses increasing by 5.1% year over year to $440.4 million [5][9] Cash Flow and Share Repurchase - Dillard's ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.149 billion and long-term debt of $225.7 million [7] - The company repurchased 30,000 shares for $107.8 million, averaging $359.16 per share, with $165.2 million remaining under its current share repurchase authorization [8] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Dillard's forecasts capital expenditure of $100 million, a decrease from $105 million in fiscal 2024 [10] - The company expects depreciation and amortization expenses of $180 million and projects interest and debt income of $7 million [11]
Dillard’s, Inc. Reports Third Quarter and Year-to-Date Results
Globenewswire· 2025-11-13 11:50
Core Viewpoint - Dillard's, Inc. reported positive sales growth and net income for the third quarter of 2025, indicating a strong performance heading into the holiday season [1][2][10]. Group 1: Third Quarter Results - Net income for the 13 weeks ended November 1, 2025, was $129.8 million, or $8.31 per share, compared to $124.6 million, or $7.73 per share, for the same period in 2024 [2][10]. - Net sales for the third quarter were $1.469 billion, up from $1.427 billion in the prior year [3][10]. - Total retail sales, excluding the construction business, increased 3% to $1.401 billion compared to $1.356 billion in the previous year [4][10]. - Comparable store sales also rose by 3% during the same period [4][10]. - Significant sales increases were noted in ladies' accessories, lingerie, juniors' and children's apparel, and ladies' apparel [5]. Group 2: Gross Margin and Expenses - Consolidated gross margin for the third quarter was 43.4% of sales, up from 42.6% in the prior year [6][10]. - Retail gross margin increased to 45.3% from 44.5% year-over-year, with moderate increases in ladies' accessories and lingerie, and shoes [7][10]. - Selling, general, and administrative expenses for the quarter were $440.4 million, representing 30.0% of sales, compared to $418.9 million, or 29.4% of sales, in the previous year [9][10]. Group 3: Year-to-Date Results - For the 39 weeks ended November 1, 2025, net income was $366.5 million, or $23.39 per share, down from $379.1 million, or $23.42 per share, in the prior year [11][16]. - Net sales for the 39 weeks were $4.511 billion, compared to $4.466 billion in the previous year [12][16]. - Total retail sales for the 39 weeks increased by 1% to $4.315 billion, with comparable store sales also rising by 1% [12][16]. - Consolidated gross margin for the 39 weeks was 41.3%, slightly down from 41.6% in the prior year [13][16]. - Operating expenses for the 39 weeks were $1.296 billion, or 28.7% of sales, compared to $1.279 billion, or 28.6% of sales, in the previous year [14][16]. Group 4: Share Repurchase and Store Information - During the 39 weeks ended November 1, 2025, the company repurchased $107.8 million worth of Class A Common Stock, totaling approximately 300,000 shares [15]. - Dillard's announced the closure of a store in Plano, Texas, expected to take place in January 2026, while operating a total of 272 stores across 30 states [16].