Core Insights - Upstart is leveraging artificial intelligence to innovate the lending process, aiming to enhance credit access for borrowers and increase revenue for its banking partners, despite a significant decline in share price [1][4] - The comparison between Upstart and American Express highlights different investment opportunities within the financial services sector, with American Express being a more established player [2] Upstart Analysis - Upstart utilizes AI to analyze 2,500 variables for assessing borrower repayment ability, significantly more than traditional FICO scores, and has originated $50 billion in loans across various markets [5] - The company's financial performance is highly cyclical, with a 39% revenue decline in 2023 due to rising interest rates, resulting in a net loss of $240 million; however, there was a 71% revenue growth in Q3, and positive GAAP earnings for two consecutive quarters [6] American Express Analysis - American Express reported a revenue increase of 11% year-over-year to $18.4 billion in Q3 2025, driven by a 9% growth in payment volume and the addition of 5.7 million new active cards [7] - The company benefits from a strong brand presence and a powerful network effect, positioning it favorably in the credit card market [8]

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