The market expects Hexcel (HXL) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on O ...

Core Viewpoint - Hexcel (HXL) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its near-term stock price [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Hexcel is $0.46 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 23.3% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $471.17 million, down 5.8% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.83% lower, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Hexcel is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.93% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading can indicate a likely earnings beat, particularly when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - Hexcel currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12][20]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hexcel was expected to post earnings of $0.43 per share but delivered only $0.37, resulting in a surprise of -13.95% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Hexcel has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Teledyne Technologies (TDY), a peer in the Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, is expected to report earnings of $5.01 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 9.4% [18]. - Teledyne's revenues are projected to be $1.47 billion, up 7.1% from the previous year, with a higher Most Accurate Estimate leading to an Earnings ESP of +1.22% [19].