Core Insights - Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is experiencing growth driven by expansion initiatives, strong operational execution, and effective marketing strategies [1] - The company is focused on balancing value-driven offerings with margin expansion to adapt to evolving consumer preferences [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 of fiscal 2025, Brinker International reported total revenues of $1.46 billion, a 21% increase year over year, primarily driven by the Chili's brand [4][9] - The Restaurant Operating Margin improved by 260 basis points to 17.8%, supported by sales leverage, strategic menu pricing, and operational efficiencies [4] Growth Initiatives - Brinker International is accelerating remodeling initiatives and focusing on international expansion through development agreements with franchise partners [5] - The company aims to remodel 10% of the Chili's system annually and is doubling its pipeline of new restaurant openings [6] Menu Innovation - The company is committed to menu innovation, continually adding new items and reintroducing popular high-margin items to drive sales [7] - The launch of the Big QP burger, priced at $10.99, is positioned as a high-value offering to enhance perceived value [8] Industry Context - Other industry players like The Cheesecake Factory, Dutch Bros, and Shake Shack are also experiencing momentum due to resilient consumer demand and a shift toward premium dining [2] - However, Brinker International faces challenges from rising costs, inflationary pressures, and weaker sales in the Maggiano's segment [2] Cost and Margin Pressures - Total operating costs and expenses rose to $1.32 billion in Q4, up from $1.14 billion in the same period last year, with advertising expenses increasing to 3% of sales [10] - Commodity inflation negatively impacted margins by 60 basis points, which could squeeze profitability despite pricing strategies [11]

Core Insights - Brinker International reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with both earnings and revenues surpassing estimates and showing year-over-year growth [3][6] - Chili's performance was a significant driver, with same-store sales increasing by 24%, outperforming the casual dining sector [4][9] - Maggiano's faced challenges with a leadership change and declining sales, indicating potential areas for improvement [5][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 were $2.49, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.43, compared to $1.61 in the prior year [6] - Total revenues reached $1,461.9 million, beating the consensus mark of $1,411 million, and reflecting a 21% increase year-over-year [6] - Chili's segment revenues rose 24% year-over-year to $1,339.6 million, driven by increased foot traffic and effective marketing strategies [7] Segment Analysis - Chili's same-store sales increased by 23.7%, with company-owned traffic gaining 16.3% year-over-year [9] - Maggiano's revenues decreased by 1.2% year-over-year to $122.3 million, primarily due to poor comparable restaurant sales [10] - Maggiano's company restaurant expenses as a percentage of sales rose to 86.7%, impacted by an unfavorable menu item mix [12] Operating Results - Total operating costs and expenses for the quarter were $1.32 billion, up from $1.14 billion in the previous year [13] - Adjusted restaurant operating margin improved to 17.8% from 15.2% year-over-year [13] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $212.4 million, compared to $141.8 million in the prior year [13] Balance Sheet - As of June 25, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $64.6 million, up from $15.1 million a year earlier [14] - Long-term debt decreased to $426 million from $786.3 million year-over-year [14] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, management anticipates total revenues between $5.60 billion and $5.70 billion, with adjusted diluted EPS projected in the range of $9.90 to $10.50 [15] - Recent estimates have trended upward, with a consensus estimate shift of 10.83% [16] - Brinker International holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [18]

Core Viewpoint - Brinker International reported strong second-quarter earnings, with significant same-store sales growth, indicating resilience in consumer dining habits despite a cautious outlook for the remainder of 2025 [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Overall revenue reached $1.46 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase [2]. - The company achieved a remarkable 54% year-over-year growth in earnings, showcasing its pricing power and ability to attract customers [2]. - Same-store sales growth for Chili's and Maggiano's chains was reported at 21.3% [1]. Future Outlook - The company provided cautious guidance for 2025, highlighting potential volatility in commodity costs and emphasizing menu innovation, digital ordering, and loyalty programs to enhance customer engagement [4]. - Analysts project a 12.65% earnings growth over the next 12 months, which is above the sector average [8]. Market Position - EAT stock has been one of the strongest-performing restaurant stocks over the past five years, trading at an attractive valuation of around 19x forward sales, which is a discount to the sector average [7][8]. - Despite recent gains, EAT stock is still down overall for the last five days, indicating a need for further confirmation of a new trend [2][9]. Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - The current price target for EAT stock is $156.41, with a consensus hold rating among analysts [9][11]. - The stock is trading near the consensus price target, and analysts have been raising their price targets in the last two months [10][11].

August 13, 2025 Q4 F25 $1,002 $1,064 $1,109 $1,197 $1,127 $1,346 $1,413 $1,449 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Company Sales F24 F25 $1,013 $1,074 $1,120 $1,208 $1,139 $1,358 $1,425 $1,462 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Revenues F24 F25 * Chili's, Maggiano's, and Company sales restated to include F23 accounting change. Q4 FOOD COST HIGHER DUE TO UNFAVORABLE MENU MIX SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT During these presentations, and in response to your questions, certain items may be discussed which are not based entirely on historical facts. Any ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast a significant increase in Brinker International's quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating strong business performance compared to the previous year [1][5]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for Brinker International is $2.43, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 50.9% [1]. - Anticipated revenues are projected to be $1.43 billion, which represents an 18.6% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Revisions and Consensus Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.9% in the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial projections [2]. - Analysts expect 'Franchise and other revenues' to reach $12.97 million, showing a year-over-year change of +10.8% [4]. Specific Revenue Projections - 'Total Revenue - Company Restaurant Sales' is expected to be $1.41 billion, with a year-over-year change of +18.3% [5]. - Revenue from 'Company sales - Chili's' is projected at $1.29 billion, indicating a +20.2% change year over year [5]. - Revenue from 'Company sales - Maggiano's' is estimated to be $125.41 million, reflecting a +1.5% change year over year [5]. Restaurant Metrics - The total number of restaurants for Brinker International is expected to reach 1,629, compared to 1,614 a year ago [6]. - Comparable store sales for Chili's are projected to increase by 21.2%, up from 14.8% in the same quarter last year [6]. - The total number of company-owned restaurants is forecasted to be 1,164, down from 1,171 in the same quarter last year [7]. Comparable Sales and Franchise Metrics - Analysts predict 'Comparable Sales - Company-owned' to be 18.9%, an increase from 13.5% year over year [8]. - The estimate for 'Franchise restaurants - Chili's - International' stands at 364, compared to 344 a year ago [9]. Stock Performance - Brinker International's shares have shown a return of -4.3% over the past month, contrasting with the S&P 500 composite's +1.9% change [10].

Q3 F25 April 29, 2025 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT $898 $917 $988 $1,073 $1,019 $1,197 $1,292 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Chili's Company Sales F24 F25 $104 $147 $121 $124 $108 $149 $121 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Maggiano's Company Sales F24 F25 During these presentations, and in response to your questions, certain items may be discussed which are not based entirely on historical facts. Any such items should be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Any forw ...

Core Viewpoint - Brinker International, Inc. is expected to report strong earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with significant year-over-year growth in both earnings per share and revenue, driven by various operational improvements and strategic initiatives [1][2][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Brinker's Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings per share is $2.48, reflecting a 100% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is estimated at $1.36 billion, indicating a 21.7% rise from the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate has seen a 1% upward revision in the past 30 days [2] Earnings Surprise History - Brinker has beaten the consensus estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 24.7% [3][4] Earnings Whispers - The company has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.27%, which, combined with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggests a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [5] Factors Influencing Performance - Increased customer traffic due to sales-building initiatives, menu streamlining, and enhanced food presentation are expected to positively impact performance [6] - Digitalization efforts and targeted advertising campaigns are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth, with a predicted 23% year-over-year increase in comparable sales [7] Revenue Growth Projections - Chili's revenues are projected to grow 21.7% year-over-year to $1.21 billion, while Maggiano's revenues are expected to rise 3.8% to $125.3 million [8] Cost Considerations - Total restaurant costs are predicted to increase by 15.4% year-over-year, influenced by rising labor costs and inflationary pressures [9] Stock Performance - Brinker shares have increased by 222.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 0.4% [10] - Despite this growth, the stock is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 17.25X, which is lower than the industry average [13] Investment Sentiment - The stock's rally reflects strong earnings momentum and successful brand initiatives, although challenges related to consumer spending and inflation remain [15] - Current investors may benefit from holding the stock for long-term gains, while new investors are advised to wait for clearer signals post-earnings [16]