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ROAD Stock Climbs 52% in 3 Months: Should You Buy the Surge or Wait?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-05 16:06
Core Viewpoint - Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) has experienced a significant share price increase of 52.3% over the past three months, outperforming its industry, sector, and the S&P 500 index [1][2]. Group 1: Business Model and Growth Prospects - The company's vertically integrated business model provides a competitive advantage, optimizing the supply chain and enhancing profitability while reducing volatility risks [4][20]. - ROAD aims for annual revenue growth of 15-20% and EBITDA margin expansion of 13-14% as part of its ROAD-Map 2027 goals [5]. - The company has diversified its offerings, allowing for both organic growth through service expansion and inorganic growth via acquisitions, enhancing its market reach [6][20]. Group 2: Recent Developments and Financial Outlook - The Lone Star Acquisition, completed on November 1, 2024, has expanded ROAD's geographic footprint and contributed positively to its business [7][9]. - For fiscal 2025, ROAD expects revenues between $2.77 billion and $2.83 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 52.2-55.5% [10]. - Adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to be between $410 million and $430 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 85.9% to 94.9% [10]. Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Market Sentiment - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have increased by 10.3% and 1.5%, respectively, reflecting strong growth expectations of 60.9% and 26.5% year-over-year [11][12]. - Technical indicators show that ROAD stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a bullish trend and positive market sentiment [13][20]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Considerations - ROAD is currently trading at a premium compared to its industry peers based on a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, suggesting strong market potential despite challenges in determining a suitable entry point for investors [17][19]. - The favorable fundamentals and technical trends support the view that ROAD is a solid investment choice in the current market environment [21].