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Teradyne Surges 88% in Three Months: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-02-16 16:46
Core Insights - Teradyne (TER) shares have surged 87.9% in the last three months, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's decline of 0.1% and the Zacks Electronics - Miscellaneous Products increase of 21% [1] - The company has significantly benefited from strong AI-related demand, which has driven substantial investments in cloud AI infrastructure [3][7] Stock Performance - Teradyne's stock has outperformed its closest peers, including Advantest Corporation, Cohu, and KLA Corporation, which saw share increases of 43.4%, 43.1%, and 29.1% respectively in the same period [2] - The company's Q4 2025 Semiconductor Test revenues reached $883 million, accounting for approximately 81.5% of total sales, reflecting a 45% year-over-year growth and a 46% sequential increase [4][9] Revenue Growth - AI-driven applications accounted for over 60% of Teradyne's revenue in Q4 2025, up from 40%-50% in Q3 2025, with projections indicating that AI applications could drive up to 70% of revenues in Q1 2026 [7] - For Q1 2026, Teradyne expects revenues between $1.15 billion and $1.25 billion, indicating a potential 75.28% year-over-year increase [14] Robotics and Acquisitions - The Robotics Group has seen a 19% quarter-over-quarter revenue increase in Q4 2025, largely due to a major e-commerce customer [12] - The integration of Quantifi Photonics into Teradyne's Product Test Group has enhanced its capabilities in silicon photonics device testing, aligning with the demand for AI data center infrastructure [10] Valuation and Guidance - Teradyne's shares are currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 11.78X compared to the industry average of 8.33X [16] - Non-GAAP earnings for Q1 2026 are expected to be between $1.89 and $2.25 per share, with a consensus estimate of $1.94 per share, reflecting a 158.67% year-over-year growth [15]