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Why Archer Aviation Stock Sank 22.9% Last Year but Is Surging in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-18 11:30
Core Viewpoint - Archer Aviation's stock faced significant challenges in 2025, declining 22.9% despite a generally bullish market, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 16.4% and 20.4%, respectively [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Context - Archer Aviation's stock experienced volatility in 2025, with notable price spikes followed by pullbacks, largely due to competition from Joby Aviation, which saw a 62% increase in its stock price [3]. - The company's valuation decreased amid ongoing losses and uncertainty regarding vehicle certification in key markets, compounded by negative short reports from analysts [2][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Archer reported a net loss of $206 million, an increase from a loss of $106.9 million in the same quarter the previous year [6]. - The Q3 report revealed a net loss of $129.9 million, higher than expected and up from a loss of $115.3 million in the prior year, alongside concerns about share dilution following a $650 million stock sale [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Trends - In 2026, Archer Aviation's stock has rebounded, rising 17.8% year-to-date, benefiting from a broader trend in defense-tech stocks [8]. - The company is collaborating with Anduril to develop hybrid-propulsion VTOL aircraft for military use, which may enhance interest in its technology despite uncertainties in achieving FAA certification for commercial use [9].