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AMC Stock Just Got Upgrade — Could Premium Screens, Box Office Momentum Signal A Comeback?
Benzinga· 2025-07-11 17:20
Core Viewpoint - AMC Entertainment's stock has surged following an upgrade from Wedbush analyst Alicia Reese, who raised the price forecast and highlighted the company's potential for improved box office performance due to a steadier film release schedule [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is well-positioned to gain market share in 2025 and 2026, benefiting from owning the highest number of premium screens in North America and expansion efforts in the U.K. and EU [2] - AMC plans to shut down unprofitable locations while investing in top-performing theaters, which is already boosting revenue per screen, currently tracking 3% above 2019 levels [4] - The analyst projects mid-to-high single-digit growth in box office revenue over the next few years, followed by low-to-mid single-digit gains thereafter [5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - AMC has repaid or deferred all debt due in 2026, easing near-term financial uncertainty, and is finishing its last major share issuance for the foreseeable future [3] - The second-quarter revenue forecast has been revised to $1.35 billion, up from a prior estimate of $1.25 billion, exceeding the consensus of $1.337 billion [7] - AMC continues to generate $22–$23 in domestic revenue per attendee and about $16 internationally, both approximately 30% higher than pre-pandemic levels [8] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - EBITDA is expected to cover interest expenses, reducing the need for AMC to issue more equity [4] - The company has room to grow by expanding merchandise sales and improving concession revenue per customer [5] - North American box office for the second quarter reached 37.4%, with AMC capturing 22.0% of that total, down 50 basis points year-over-year [6]