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MDB vs. NOW: Which Enterprise Software Stock is the Smarter Buy?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-03 14:56
Core Insights - The enterprise software market is rapidly growing, projected to reach $517.3 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 12.1% driven by AI integration and digital transformation initiatives [2] - MongoDB and ServiceNow are key players in this transformation, with MongoDB focusing on database infrastructure and ServiceNow on workflow automation [1] MongoDB (MDB) - MongoDB is well-positioned to benefit from modern application architectures and AI workloads, with its Atlas cloud database showing a 29% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 fiscal 2026 Atlas revenues is $437 million, reflecting a 20.4% increase from the previous year [3] - MongoDB's customer base grew by 2,800 in the last quarter, totaling 59,900, with a projected increase to 61,500 customers in Q3, marking a 16.9% year-over-year growth [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings has been revised upward by 18.6% to $3.64 per share, indicating optimism about profitability [6] - MongoDB's document-based model offers flexibility for complex data handling, enhancing efficiency in building AI applications [4] ServiceNow (NOW) - ServiceNow is expected to maintain steady growth in workflow automation, with subscription revenues increasing by 21.5% in constant currency to $3.11 billion in Q2 of 2025 [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 subscription revenues is $3.26 billion, up 20.7% year-over-year [7] - Current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) rose 24.5% year-over-year to $10.9 billion, with a projected increase to $11.09 billion in Q3 [8] - ServiceNow's renewal rates are stable at 98%, with 528 customers generating over $5 million in annual contract value [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $16.79 per share, with no revisions in the past 30 days, indicating tempered investor sentiment [10] Price Performance and Valuation - MongoDB's stock has outperformed ServiceNow in 2025, gaining 36.7% year-to-date, while ServiceNow shares have declined by 14.1% [11] - Both companies are considered overvalued, with MongoDB trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.15X and ServiceNow at 12.85X, reflecting differing growth expectations [13] Conclusion - Both MongoDB and ServiceNow are positioned to benefit from digital transformation, but MongoDB presents a stronger upside potential due to its architecture and growth momentum [15] - MongoDB is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), while ServiceNow holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a preference for MongoDB at present levels [16]