Key Takeaways from Shengyi Technology (600183.SS) 2Q25 Results Briefing Company Overview - **Company**: Shengyi Technology (SYTECH) - **Industry**: High-speed copper-clad laminate (CCL) for AI-related applications Core Points 1. **Rising Order Momentum**: Monthly shipments of high-speed CCL are expected to increase to 800-900k sheets in 3Q25 from 700-800k sheets at the end of 2Q25, indicating a 10-15% rise in run rate [1][3] 2. **AI-Related Business**: The majority of AI-related CCL shipments are directed towards NVDA GB200 and GB300 servers, primarily for switches on M8 PCBs [1][3] 3. **New Plant Developments**: New plants in Jiangxi and Thailand are under development, with the Jiangxi plant expected to have a monthly capacity of 1.5 million sheets starting in 4Q25, and the Thai plant with a capacity of 0.7 million sheets commencing in 1Q26 [1][9] 4. **Stable ASP**: Average Selling Price (ASP) remains firm, but is unlikely to rise in the near term unless there is a surge in demand from non-AI segments [1][3] 5. **Product Mix Upgrade**: Management sees good order momentum for 3Q25, allowing for a shift towards AI-oriented products, moving away from non-AI downstream applications like home appliances and consumer electronics [3][4] 6. **High-End AI Products**: SYTECH is working on high-end AI products, with a focus on NVDA's supply chain, although it is considered a latecomer compared to foreign rivals [4][10] 7. **Certification Delays**: ASIC certification for GPU vendors is still pending, with management noting that Chinese companies typically take longer to achieve certification [8] 8. **No HK Listing Plans**: SYTECH has no plans for a Hong Kong listing, opting to finance new plants through internal cash flow due to strong cash generation [10] 9. **Upstream Supply**: The company reports reasonable upstream supply, including low Dk/2 materials, contrary to market perceptions of a severe shortage [11] Financial Metrics - **Current Price**: Rmb49.50 - **Target Price**: Rmb60.00 - **Expected Share Price Return**: 21.2% - **Expected Dividend Yield**: 1.7% - **Expected Total Return**: 23.0% - **Market Cap**: Rmb120,249 million (approximately US$16,847 million) [6] Risks and Opportunities - **Downside Risks**: Include worse-than-expected demand for AI-CCL orders, subdued consumption in China, and higher-than-expected capital expenditures on 5G/IoT products [16] - **Upside Risks**: Include securing ASIC-based customers, better macroeconomic conditions in China, and stronger-than-expected AI demand [16] Conclusion - The company is positioned to benefit from rising demand in the AI sector, with significant growth potential from new plant developments and a strategic shift towards high-end AI products. However, it faces risks related to market demand and certification timelines.