Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE:ATO) is included among the 14 Best Dividend Aristocrats to Invest in Heading into 2026. Atmos Energy (ATO) Draws Mixed Calls as UBS Raises Target, Morgan Stanley Downgrades On December 17, UBS raised its price target on Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE:ATO) to $174 from $159 and kept a Neutral rating on the shares. The update reflected a more constructive view on valuation, even as broader sector risks remain in focus. A day earlier, Morgan Stanley moved in the opposite dire ...

Core Viewpoint - Southern Company is a leading energy provider in the U.S., maintaining a competitive position with a "Buy" rating and a price target increase, reflecting optimism about its future performance [1][2][6] Financial Performance - Southern Company has a market capitalization of approximately $92.44 billion and a trading volume of 5,409,252 shares, with stock prices fluctuating between $83.82 and $85.38 [5] - The company offers a dividend yield of 3.5%, making it attractive to income-focused investors [3][6] - In the third quarter, Southern Company exceeded expectations due to strong demand from data centers and regional economic growth [3][6] Strategic Focus - The company's revenue structure is evolving, with long-term sales growth supported by contracts with industrial and data center clients, positioning it for sustained growth [4][6] - Southern Company's strategic focus on high-demand sectors, such as industrial and data centers, enhances its ability to adapt to changing market conditions [3][4][6] Market Position - Southern Company operates in a competitive landscape with key rivals like Duke Energy and NextEra Energy [1] - Despite a recent decrease of 1.68%, the company's strong fundamentals and strategic initiatives continue to drive investor interest [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported diluted earnings per share of $7.46, marking the 23rd consecutive year of earnings per share growth and the 41st consecutive year of dividend growth [3][10] - Consolidated capital spending increased to $3.6 billion, with 87% dedicated to improving safety and reliability [10] - Rate base increased by 14% to an estimated $21 billion as of September 30 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 57,000 residential customers were added during fiscal 2025, with over 44,000 of those in Texas [4] - Nearly 3,200 commercial customers and 29 industrial customers were added, with anticipated annual consumption of approximately 4 BCF of gas from industrial customers [4] - Over the last five years, the company has added nearly 300,000 residential and commercial customers and 225 industrial customers, equivalent to nearly 1.2 million residential customers on a volumetric basis [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Texas added jobs at a faster rate than the nation, growing at a rate of 1.14% [5] - The current population estimate for the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex is approximately 8.6 million, projected to be the third largest metropolitan area in the U.S. by 2030 [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to invest $26 billion over the next five years, with approximately 85% allocated to safety and reliability [7][14] - The five-year plan reflects the impact of Texas House Bill 4384, allowing for quicker recovery of capital spending [8][15] - The company anticipates earnings per share growth of 6%-8% from the midpoint of its rebased fiscal 2026 guidance [8][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the importance of safety, reliability, and modernization of natural gas systems to meet customer and community expectations [18][20] - The company remains focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet and available liquidity, with $4.9 billion in liquidity [20] Other Important Information - The company completed integrity inspections for its Bethel Salt Dome Caverns and is working on further inspections [7] - The average monthly natural gas bill for residential customers is expected to remain the lowest utility bill in the home [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on larger load customers and Refresh Capital plan - Management indicated that 85% of spending is dedicated to safety and reliability, with modest growth included in the plan [24] Question: Capital recovery and its impact on growth - Management stated that the capital recovery process has been consistent and is part of their long-term planning since 2011 [26] Question: EPS rebase and impact of Texas legislation - Management confirmed that the impact of House Bill 4384 is included in the rebased earnings per share guidance [46] Question: O&M budgeting for 2026 - Management explained that the O&M budget is consistent with previous years, with adjustments based on compliance and system monitoring needs [34] Question: Long-term gas price assumptions - Management noted that the long-term gas price assumptions are based on the forward curve and that residential gas bills are expected to remain competitive [41][42] Question: Dividend guidance and its sustainability - Management indicated that the dividend has been increased by 15% to align with rebased earnings per share guidance, with intentions to grow the dividend in line with earnings growth [52]

Core Viewpoint - Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PCG) is facing significant stock underperformance compared to the broader market and utility sector, despite reporting better-than-expected earnings for Q3 FY2025 and unveiling a substantial capital plan for future growth [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - PCG's stock has declined by 21.7% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index has gained 18.1% during the same period [2]. - Year-to-date, PCG's stock has slid 21.9%, contrasting with the S&P 500's 17.2% gain [2]. - The company's adjusted EPS for Q3 FY2025 was $0.50, exceeding expectations of $0.42, driven by stronger demand and lower operating expenses [4]. - Revenue for the quarter was $6.25 billion, slightly below estimates [4]. - Analysts expect PCG's EPS to grow 10.3% annually to $1.50 for the fiscal year ending December 2025 [5]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Among 18 analysts covering PCG, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 12 "Strong Buy" ratings and six "Holds" [5]. - The mean price target for PCG is $21.07, indicating a potential upside of 33.7% from current market prices [6]. - The highest price target of $25 suggests a potential upside of 58.6% [6].

Core Viewpoint - Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is a leading regulated natural gas distributor in the U.S., with a strong market presence and stable earnings model, focusing on modernization and safety investments [1][2]. Company Overview - Atmos Energy has a market capitalization of $26.2 billion and serves over 3.3 million customers across more than 1,400 communities in several states [1]. - The company is categorized as a large-cap stock, reflecting its significant size and influence in the regulated gas utilities sector [2]. Financial Performance - ATO reported a 19.6% year-over-year increase in revenue for Q3, totaling $838.8 million, slightly exceeding estimates [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter matched forecasts at $1.16, while net income rose 12.6% to $186.4 million, driven by customer growth and substantial infrastructure investments [5]. - The company has raised its full-year EPS outlook to between $7.35 and $7.45 and declared a dividend of $0.87 [5]. Stock Performance - ATO shares have seen a 3.6% increase following the Q3 results announcement [5]. - Year-to-date, ATO shares have risen 16.6%, and over the past 52 weeks, they have climbed 19%, outperforming the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) [4]. - Despite a recent retreat of 3.8% from a 52-week high of $168.86, ATO stock has gained 6.6% over the past three months [3][4]. Investment Strategy - A significant portion of Atmos Energy's strategy is focused on system modernization and safety, with $2.6 billion in infrastructure investments, 86% of which are aimed at enhancing safety and reliability [5].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Enbridge reported record second quarter EBITDA, with a 7% increase compared to 2024, and earnings per share rose by 12% [24][25] - The debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 4.7 times, primarily due to earnings from US gas utility acquisitions [7][30] - The company expects to finish the year at the upper end of its EBITDA guidance range and is on track to meet its DCF per share midpoint [7][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Liquids segment transported an average of 3,000,000 barrels per day, although results from FSP and Spearhead showed a slight decrease compared to 2024 [25] - Gas transmission saw strong operational performance, with contributions from Whistler JV and DBR system acquisitions [26] - Gas distribution increased due to US gas utility acquisitions, higher rates, and colder weather [27] - Renewable power contributions were lower from European offshore assets but offset by stronger wind resources in North America [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Enbridge's natural gas systems are strategically located near 29 new data centers and 78 coal plants, representing significant growth opportunities [13][43] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on growing energy demand in North America, with connections to 100% of Gulf Coast operating LNG export capacity [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Enbridge is focused on disciplined capital allocation and has a secured capital program of $32 billion, aiming for 5% growth through the end of the decade [34] - The company is advancing multiple projects across its business units, including a $900 million Clear Fork project in Texas and expansions in gas transmission [10][11] - Enbridge's strategy includes leveraging its diverse asset base to deliver predictable returns and maintain its dividend aristocrat status [12][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about ongoing dialogues with policymakers to enhance North American energy independence [5] - The company remains confident in its ability to navigate trade conflicts and geopolitical volatility while capitalizing on rising power demand [6][12] - Management highlighted the stability of Enbridge's business model amid market turbulence, with 80% of EBITDA generated from regulated assets [12] Other Important Information - Enbridge's renewable projects are expected to benefit from recent US legislative changes, enhancing the value of its backlog [22] - The company has a strong focus on economic reconciliation and partnerships with indigenous communities, as demonstrated by the investment in the West Coast system [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Opportunities in Natural Gas Expansion - Management highlighted numerous opportunities across the gas transmission and renewable sectors, particularly in areas with rising industrial and power demand [39][44] Question: Wood Fiber Project Cost Drivers - Management acknowledged higher capital costs due to various factors but emphasized the ability to earn a low double-digit return on the project [46][49] Question: Energy Policy Evolution in Canada - Management noted that current energy policies in Canada are not conducive to new pipeline investments, focusing instead on incremental projects to meet customer needs [53][57] Question: Ohio Rate Case Impact - Management expressed confidence in the Ohio utility's growth despite disappointment in the recent rate case outcome, highlighting strong ROE and ongoing rate cases in other jurisdictions [59][62] Question: Data Center Contracts and Counterparty Risks - Management emphasized the importance of strong credit profiles for counterparties and the preference for long-term contracts with utilities [100][101]

Group 1 - CenterPoint Energy (CNP) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.6% [1] - Revenues for the upcoming quarter are projected to be $1.94 billion, which is an increase of 1.8% from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 2.9% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [1][2] Group 2 - Analysts forecast 'Revenues- Electric Transmission and Distribution' to reach $1.22 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of +1.4% [3] - The consensus estimate for 'Revenues- Natural Gas Distribution' is $726.86 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of +4.6% [3] - The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Revenues- Utility' of $1.98 billion, reflecting a change of +4.4% from the prior-year quarter [4] Group 3 - Analysts predict 'Operating Income / (loss)- Natural Gas Distribution' will reach $147.12 million, compared to $120.00 million in the same quarter of the previous year [4] - The estimated 'Operating Income / (loss)- Electric Transmission and Distribution' is expected to be $370.85 million, up from $346.00 million a year ago [5] - CenterPoint shares have shown returns of +4.2% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change [5]

Core Viewpoint - Dividend-paying stocks are generally considered lower-risk investments compared to non-payers, as they generate sufficient cash to fund growth and return excess to shareholders through dividends [1] Group 1: Black Hills (BKH) - Black Hills operates as a regulated utility with a monopoly on natural gas distribution and electricity in several states, benefiting from government regulation [5][6] - The company has a growing customer base, expanding at twice the rate of the U.S. population, and has a history of increasing dividends for over five decades, achieving Dividend King status [7] - Expected earnings growth of 4% to 6% and a dividend yield of 4.8% make Black Hills an attractive investment opportunity [8] Group 2: Kinder Morgan (KMI) - Kinder Morgan is one of the largest energy infrastructure platforms in the U.S., with stable cash flows supported by take-or-pay contracts that account for 64% of annual cash flows [9][10] - The company anticipates cash flow growth to $5.9 billion this year, sufficient to cover its $2.6 billion dividend outlay and fund capital expenditures with excess free cash flow [11][12] - With $8.8 billion in growth capital projects, primarily in natural gas pipelines, Kinder Morgan has a strong foundation for future dividend increases, having raised its payout for eight consecutive years [13] Group 3: American States Water (AWR) - American States Water is a major water utility serving 1 million consumers across nine states, with a long history of dividend payments since 1931 and 70 consecutive years of increases, making it a top Dividend King [15] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.8% in dividend growth over the past five years and aims for over 7% in the long term, supported by planned capital expenditures [16] - The stable cash flows and growth potential position American States Water as one of the safest and most reliable dividend stocks available, with a current yield of 2.4% [17]

Core Insights - Southwest Gas Holdings reported a net income of $113.9 million for Q1 2025, an increase of $26.2 million compared to Q1 2024, driven by higher operating margins and improved performance at Centuri [4][7][20] - The company achieved a utility return on equity (ROE) of 8.2% over the last twelve months, with a 5.2% earnings growth in Q1 2025 [6][24] - An annual revenue increase of approximately $80.2 million was approved in Arizona, which included an increase in the allowed return on equity to 9.84% [6][25] Financial Performance - Net income for Q1 2025 was $113.9 million, compared to $87.7 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a significant improvement [4][20] - Adjusted net income for Q1 2025 was $119.4 million, up from $98.5 million in the same period last year, marking a 21% increase [7][22] - Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.58 in Q1 2025 from $1.22 in Q1 2024 [4][22] Operational Highlights - The utility added approximately 40,000 new meter sets, resulting in a 1.8% customer growth rate over the past twelve months [6][12] - The operating margin increased by $38.9 million, with combined rate relief in Nevada, California, and Arizona contributing approximately $27 million [12][20] - Operations and maintenance expenses decreased by $1.5 million, primarily due to reduced external contractor costs [12][20] Strategic Developments - The company is committed to fully separating Centuri and is evaluating market conditions for optimal timing and value [3][11] - A constructive outcome on the revenue phase of the Arizona general rate case has bolstered the company's regulatory strategy [2][6] - The company anticipates a final decision on the proposed system integrity mechanism settlement in the third quarter of 2025 [2][11] Guidance and Outlook - The company reaffirmed its 2025 net income guidance of $265 million to $275 million and projected capital expenditures of approximately $880 million [10] - The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for adjusted net income from 2025 to 2029 is estimated to be between 6.0% and 8.0% [10] - The authorized rate base across various jurisdictions totals approximately $5.81 billion, with an average authorized return on common equity of 9.89% [25][26]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For 2024, the company achieved adjusted net income of $90.6 million or $2.33 per share, a decrease from $93.9 million or $2.59 per share in 2023, primarily due to regulatory lag until new Oregon gas utility rates were effective [27][97] - Cash provided by operating activities was $200 million, with capital investments totaling $394 million, of which nearly 90% was for the gas utility [30][100] - The company initiated 2025 adjusted earnings guidance in the range of $2.75 to $2.95 per share, reflecting strong contributions from other businesses [31][101] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Natural Gas Distribution segment saw a utility margin increase of $26.3 million mainly due to new rates in Oregon, while gas utility O&M decreased by $2.1 million [28][98] - Other businesses' net income increased by $3.6 million, primarily due to a $4.4 million increase in net income from the Water and Waste utility business [29][99] - The water and wastewater customer base grew by 4.6% last year, including organic growth and acquisitions [12][83] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company completed the largest Oregon gas utility rate case in its history, with a revenue requirement increase of $93.3 million and a rate base increase of $334 million to $2.1 billion [16][86] - C Energy, a newly acquired Texas gas utility, has produced strong customer growth of 22% from 2021 to 2024 compounded annually [24][94] - The company expects customer growth projections for C Energy to be backstopped by a backlog of nearly 190,000 connections under contract [104] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capture growth from C Energy, expecting double-digit growth for years to come [42][112] - There is a focus on reaching constructive completion of the Oregon general rate case to ensure strong returns on invested capital [42][112] - The company plans to continue evaluating acquisitions and assess rate case filings to recover crucial safety investments while maintaining affordability [43][113] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strong financial position and readiness for continued growth, especially with the transition to new leadership [46][115] - The company is monitoring regulatory changes and potential tariffs that could impact costs, but does not anticipate significant effects on customer pricing [56][126] - Management highlighted the importance of natural gas in the energy mix, especially during peak demand periods, and noted voter support for diversified energy solutions [19][90] Other Important Information - The company plans to begin separately disclosing financial results for Northwest Natural Water and C Energy starting with the first quarter of 2025 [40][111] - The capital expenditure guidance for 2025 is expected to be in the range of $450 million to $500 million, with significant investments in gas utilities and C Energy [32][102] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategic thoughts on data centers and electric load growth in Washington - Management is evaluating opportunities to connect data centers to their systems and is monitoring regulatory changes closely [51][124] Question: Clarification on C Energy's net income growth and rate case filings - The projected CAGR for C Energy includes assumptions about rate case adjustments and capital structure improvements [59][131] - There are no immediate plans for rate case filings as the focus is on integrating the newly acquired company [62][133] Question: Breakdown of capital expenditures by segment - Capital expenditures are projected at approximately $350 million for Northwest Natural gas, $80 million for C Energy, and $60 million for water utilities [66][138]