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Cenovus vs. Enbridge: Is it Time to Step Away From Both Stocks?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 19:30
Core Insights - Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) has outperformed Enbridge Inc. (ENB) in stock price performance over the past year, with a 40.9% increase compared to ENB's 13.9% gain, but this does not necessarily indicate that CVE is the better investment option [1][6] Company Fundamentals - Price performance alone does not fully capture a stock's attractiveness; evaluating fundamentals and the broader operating environment is essential [2] - Cenovus, as an upstream producer, is more exposed to commodity price fluctuations and energy transition risks, while Enbridge, as a pipeline company, offers lower-risk profiles and steadier income streams [2] Oil Price Impact on Cenovus - Current West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices are around $64 per barrel, significantly lower than the previous year's levels, with projections suggesting a decline to $52.21 per barrel by 2026 [3] - Cenovus's production of heavy and bitumen-blend crude is closely tied to Western Canadian Select (WCS), which typically trades at a discount to WTI, amplifying the impact of falling WTI prices on Cenovus's earnings [4][7] Enbridge's Business Model - Enbridge operates as one of North America's largest midstream energy companies, generating stable, fee-based revenues from long-term contracts, which limits exposure to commodity price fluctuations [8][9] - Approximately 98% of Enbridge's EBITDA is supported by regulated or take-or-pay contracts, providing inflation protection and stability in earnings and dividends [10] Financial Metrics and Risks - Enbridge's debt-to-capitalization ratio is 60.4%, higher than the industry average, and its debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.8X is near the upper end of management's target range, indicating elevated financial risk [11] - Recent earnings estimates for Cenovus have declined, reflecting concerns over oil price weakness, while Enbridge's estimates have remained stable [12][14] Valuation Comparison - Enbridge trades at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 15.37X, significantly higher than Cenovus's 6.32X, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for Enbridge's stable business model [15] Investment Outlook - The current soft crude outlook makes Cenovus's upstream-heavy business model vulnerable, while Enbridge faces leverage-related risks despite its stable cash flows [16] - Risk-averse investors may consider avoiding positions in both stocks until macro conditions improve [17]
Great Basin Expansion Project Shows Strong Interest for Natural Gas Expansion in Northern Nevada
Prnewswire· 2025-06-05 21:36
Core Viewpoint - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. announces the successful closure of the Binding Open Season for the Great Basin Gas Transmission Company's 2028 Expansion Project, indicating high demand for natural gas in Northern Nevada [2][3]. Project Details - The Binding Open Season was initially set to close on April 30, 2025, but was extended to May 28, 2025, due to strong interest from shippers [4]. - The project aims to provide expanded firm transportation service starting November 1, 2028, with a minimum twenty-year term for each transportation service agreement [4]. - The anticipated expansion rate is between $14 and $17 per Dth per month, depending on the actual contracted capacity [4]. Estimated Impacts - The project is expected to provide incremental capacity totaling approximately 1.25 billion cubic feet per day [8]. - The estimated capital investment opportunity for the project ranges from approximately $800 million to $1.2 billion [8]. - The impacts of the project are contingent upon successful negotiations of binding agreements and final approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) [3][6]. Regional Importance - The expansion is projected to enhance the availability of reliable, on-demand energy in Northern Nevada, supporting economic development in the region [5]. Company Overview - Great Basin Gas Transmission Company operates an interstate pipeline system from the Idaho-Nevada border to the Nevada-California border and is subject to FERC jurisdiction under the Natural Gas Act [7]. - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. serves over 2 million customers across Arizona, Nevada, and California, focusing on safe and reliable natural gas service [9].