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Where Will Intuitive Machines Be in 5 Years?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-05-03 11:07
Company Overview - Intuitive Machines has made significant progress since its February 2023 IPO, securing four NASA contracts for lunar payload deliveries, completing two missions with partial success, indicating a design flaw in the Nova-C lander [2][3] - The company generates $77 million and up from NASA for each landing attempt, with annual revenue reaching $228 million last year, tripling from 2023, and projected to grow to $280 million this year (23% growth) and $387 million next year (38% growth) [3][4] Financial Performance - Despite revenue growth, Intuitive Machines is not yet profitable, recording over $343 million in losses last year, primarily due to stock warrant retirement costs; analysts expect losses to decrease to less than $35 million this year, with potential for a small GAAP profit by 2026 [5] - The company has a $4.8 billion, 10-year contract with NASA to build and operate a Near Space Network, valued at approximately $480 million per year, which could significantly boost revenue beyond current forecasts [9] Future Outlook - NASA's current contract schedule allows for about one mission per year, limiting short-term growth until design issues are resolved; however, the NSN contract could sustain growth for Intuitive Machines [7][9] - Analysts predict that annual revenue could average at least twice the current amount over the next five years, with potential revenue reaching $625 million and a net profit margin of 18% [12] Valuation - Intuitive Machines stock is currently valued at around $1 billion, translating to over 4 times trailing sales, which is near the upper limit for valuations of unprofitable space stocks [13]