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Tractor Supply Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: What Awaits the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-18 13:50
Core Viewpoint - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is expected to report an increase in revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong demand and market share gains in its core merchandise [1][2][3]. Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TSCO's revenues is $4.40 billion, reflecting a 3.6% increase from the previous year [1]. - The company anticipates net sales growth of approximately 3-4% and comparable store sales to range from flat to up 1% for the second quarter [5]. Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share is 80 cents, indicating a 1.3% rise year-over-year [2]. - TSCO has a negative trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.5%, with the last quarter's earnings missing the estimate by 8.1% [2]. Key Performance Drivers - Strong demand for consumable, usable, and edible products is expected to positively impact TSCO's quarterly performance [3][9]. - The company's 'ONETractor' strategy, which integrates stores and online shopping, along with the Neighbor's Club membership program, is likely to enhance customer engagement and sales [4][9]. Cost Considerations - Higher depreciation and amortization costs, expenses from opening a distribution center, and cost inflation are anticipated to be challenges [6]. - SG&A expenses are projected to increase by 5.1% year-over-year, with the SG&A expense rate rising by 30 basis points to 25.3% [6]. Valuation Metrics - TSCO stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 25.34X, which is above the industry average of 17.96X but below its five-year high of 27.91X [8]. Stock Performance - TSCO shares have increased by 11.7% over the past three months, compared to the industry's growth of 23.6% [10].