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NVO Q4 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Down on Poor 2026 View
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 15:20
Core Insights - Novo Nordisk A/S reported adjusted fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $1 per ADR, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 90 cents, but down from $0.98 per ADR in the same quarter last year [2][4] - Revenues for the quarter were $12.34 billion, an 8% decline year over year in DKK and a 2% decline at constant exchange rates, primarily due to lower-than-expected sales in Diabetes and Obesity Care [3][4] - Despite beating earnings estimates, Novo Nordisk's shares fell 14.6% as investors reacted negatively to the company's poor sales and operating profit outlook for 2026 [4][9] Financial Performance - The Diabetes and Obesity Care segment reported sales of DKK 73.8 billion, a 2% decline, with notable changes in product sales: Fiasp up 154%, NovoRapid down 24%, and Human insulin down 24% [6] - Ozempic sales were DKK 31.83 billion, up 1%, while Rybelsus sales fell 19% to DKK 5.30 billion [7] - Obesity Care sales increased 11% to DKK 22.45 billion, with Wegovy's sales growth slowing to 17% due to competition and illegal market versions [8] 2026 Outlook - Novo Nordisk expects adjusted sales and operating profit to decline by 5-13% at constant exchange rates in 2026, with further declines expected when translated into DKK due to adverse FX movements [9][17] - The guidance indicates a potential negative sales growth of -1% and modest operating profit growth of 11%, highlighting reliance on non-recurring accounting benefits [17][21] - The company faces challenges from slowing prescription trends, increased competition, and pricing pressures, particularly in the U.S. market [18][21] Competitive Landscape - Eli Lilly is gaining market share in diabetes and obesity, raising concerns about Novo Nordisk's ability to maintain its competitive edge [22] - The launch of oral Wegovy is seen as a potential differentiator, but historical trends suggest that late entrants can still dominate the market [22] Investment Sentiment - The market reaction reflects investor disappointment with the slowing core momentum in diabetes and obesity franchises, ongoing pricing pressures, and rising investment intensity [20][21] - Novo Nordisk's stock is currently rated Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a cautious outlook among analysts [23]
Novo Nordisk Q2 Earnings Beat, Sales Miss, GLP-1 Drugs Face US Hurdles
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 17:21
Core Insights - Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) reported Q2 2025 earnings of 97 cents per ADR, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 93 cents, and up from 65 cents per ADR in the same quarter last year [1][7] - Revenues reached $11.68 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year in Danish kroner (DKK) and an 18% increase at constant exchange rates (CER), driven by higher sales in Diabetes and Obesity Care, although total revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.79 billion [2][7] Revenue Breakdown - The Diabetes and Obesity Care segment generated sales of DKK 71.94 billion, reflecting a 17% increase. Notably, sales of fast-acting insulin Fiasp decreased by 5%, while NovoRapid sales rose by 26% [4] - Sales of Ozempic reached DKK 31.8 billion, up 15%, while Rybelsus sales were DKK 5.65 billion, down 1%. Victoza sales saw a significant decline of 57% [5][6] - Obesity Care sales (Saxenda and Wegovy) increased by 53% to DKK 20.37 billion, with Wegovy sales growing 75% to DKK 19.53 billion, although growth was impacted by illegal compounded versions in the U.S. market [6][7] Rare Disease Segment - Sales in the Rare disease segment rose by 28% to DKK 4.92 billion, with rare blood disorder products contributing DKK 3.1 billion, up 13%. NovoSeven sales increased by 16% to DKK 2 billion [9] Cost Structure - Sales and distribution costs increased by 19% to DKK 17.53 billion, primarily due to promotional activities for Wegovy in the U.S. [10] - Research and development (R&D) costs decreased by 26% to DKK 11.69 billion, mainly due to a prior year impairment loss, despite increased investment in late-stage clinical studies [11] Outlook Revision - Novo Nordisk revised its 2025 sales growth outlook to 8-14%, down from 13-21%, and operating profit growth to 10-16%, down from 16-24%, reflecting weaker-than-expected momentum for key drugs Wegovy and Ozempic [12][13] - The company cited challenges from unregulated compounded GLP-1 alternatives and slower-than-expected uptake of Wegovy in the U.S. market [13][14] Competitive Landscape - Novo Nordisk's global diabetes market share declined by 1.4% to 32.6%, attributed to increased competition from Eli Lilly's tirzepatide products [15] - Despite the competitive pressure, Novo Nordisk aims to maintain a market share of over one-third by 2025 [15] Future Prospects - The company is optimistic about increasing Wegovy sales in the second half of 2025 through initiatives like NovoCare Pharmacy and exclusive formulary coverage with CVS [19] - Ongoing FDA reviews for expanded indications of semaglutide drugs and other pipeline candidates are expected to bolster future revenues [17][18]