Core Insights - The article highlights two healthcare facility stocks, Concentra Group Holdings and US Physical Therapy, as strong investment opportunities due to favorable market conditions and demographic trends [1][13]. Concentra Group Holdings - Concentra is the largest outpatient provider of occupational health services in the U.S., with a market cap of $2.65 billion and a network of 11,000 health professionals [1]. - The company serves over 50,000 patients daily and operates more than 540 medical centers, treating 1 in 5 workplace injuries [9]. - Concentra's revenue for 2Q25 was $550.8 million, a 15% year-over-year increase, exceeding forecasts by $13.44 million [10]. - The company focuses on occupational health and workplace injury management, partnering with over 239,000 employers [7][8]. - J.P. Morgan analyst Benjamin Rossi rates Concentra as Overweight with a price target of $31, indicating a potential upside of 50% [12]. US Physical Therapy - US Physical Therapy operates outpatient clinics for physical and occupational therapy, with a market cap of $1.2 billion and over 765 clinics across 44 states [13]. - The company reported revenue of $197.3 million in 2Q25, an 18% year-over-year increase, beating forecasts by $7.45 million [16]. - US Physical Therapy is well-positioned to benefit from demographic trends such as an aging population and increasing obesity rates, driving demand for physical therapy services [17]. - Rossi rates US Physical Therapy as Overweight with a price target of $110, suggesting a potential gain of 34% [17].

Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (NYSE:CON) is one of the best new stocks to buy right now. On September 18, JPMorgan analyst Benjamin Rossi assumed coverage of Concentra with an Overweight rating and unchanged price target of $31. JPMorgan believes that the current outpatient environment is most favorable for companies with lower reimbursement exposure to federal funding. Earlier in Q2 2025, Concentra Group ended the quarter with total revenue growth of 15.2% year-over-year. Excluding contributions f ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company revenue for Q2 2025 was $550.8 million, a 15.2% increase year over year from $477.9 million in Q2 2024. Excluding contributions from Nova, revenue was $519.4 million, resulting in an 8.7% increase over the prior year [6][10] - Adjusted EBITDA was $115 million in Q2 2025, compared to $101.6 million in the same quarter prior year, reflecting a 13.2% increase. Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased from 21.3% in Q2 2024 to 20.9% in Q2 2025 [9][20] - Adjusted net income attributable to the company was $47.7 million, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.37 for Q2 2025 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the occupational health center segment, total revenue was $516.1 million in Q2 2025, a 14.4% increase year over year. Workers' compensation revenue was $332.2 million, up 15.2% from the prior year [11][12] - Employer services revenue increased to $174.3 million, a 13.7% rise from the prior year, with visits per day increasing by 10.3% [12] - Excluding the impact of Nova, total revenue in the occupational health center segment was $484.8 million, a 7.4% increase year over year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total patient visits increased by 9.5% in Q2 2025, averaging approximately 55,000 visits per day. Workers' compensation visits per day increased by 9.3%, while employer services visits increased by 10.3% [7][8] - Excluding the impact from the acquisition of Nova, total visits per day increased by 2.4% [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating the Nova and Pivot acquisitions while continuing to expand its de novo site openings, with plans for two to three additional sites by the end of the year [4][25] - The company aims to capture remaining operational and back office synergies from the Nova acquisition, estimating over 70% of planned synergies captured by the end of Q2 [24] - The company is pursuing a strategy of both de novo openings and small bolt-on M&A deals, with a focus on maintaining a leverage ratio below three times by 2026 [26][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the stability of visit trends and the broader economy, noting no significant slowdown in hiring trends [30][31] - The company anticipates a strong rate year in 2026, benefiting from state-specific fee schedule adjustments tied to recent legislation [34][36] - Management highlighted the ongoing separation from Select Medical, with significant progress made towards complete separation by November 2026 [36] Other Important Information - The company declared a cash dividend of $6.25 per share, payable on or about August 28, 2025 [28] - The company ended Q2 2025 with a total debt balance of $1.67 billion and a cash balance of $74 million, with a net leverage ratio of 3.8 times [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk through the changes to revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance? - Management indicated that the guidance was raised due to strong performance in revenue and EBITDA, factoring in contributions from recent acquisitions [42][44] Question: What is the updated count of on-site health clinics following the Pivot acquisition? - The updated count is approximately 240 on-site clinics, with no change to the revenue figure previously stated [47][48] Question: What explains the softer trend in Q1 for workers' compensation? - Management noted that various dynamics influenced Q1 performance, but overall, they expect to see low single-digit growth rates over time [51][53] Question: How does the company view the long-term organic growth for employer services? - Management anticipates long-term organic growth in the low single-digit range, around 1% to 2% per year from M&A and de novo efforts [82] Question: How does the company manage labor dynamics? - The company has historically not faced significant labor pressures due to its staffing model, which relies on medical assistants rather than more scarce nursing roles [98]

Q2 2025 Performance Highlights - Concentra's Q2 2025 total revenue increased by 152% year-over-year to $5508 million, with an 87% increase excluding the impact of the Nova acquisition[17] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 grew by 132% year-over-year to $1150 million[17] - The number of onsite health clinics significantly increased to 406, a rise of 252 clinics, primarily due to the Pivot Onsite acquisition[17] - Revenue per visit (RPV) increased by 44% year-over-year to $146 in Q2 2025[17] YTD 2025 Performance Highlights - Total revenue for YTD 2025 increased by 112% year-over-year to $10515 billion, or 121% on a per-day basis[18] - Adjusted EBITDA for YTD 2025 increased by 101% year-over-year to $2177 million[18] - The number of occupational health centers increased to 628, a rise of 81 centers, due to the Nova acquisition and other M&A activities[18] - Revenue per visit (RPV) increased by 50% year-over-year to $146 in YTD 2025[18] Guidance and Financial Strategy - The company is raising its FY 2025 revenue guidance to $213 billion-$216 billion and Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $420 million-$430 million[16] - Concentra is targeting a net leverage ratio of less than 30x by the end of 2026[16]

Core Viewpoint - Concentra Group (CON) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on August 7, with a consensus estimate of quarterly earnings at $0.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 24.5%. Revenues are projected to be $536.8 million, which is a 12.3% increase from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downwards by 0.47%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Concentra is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -7.56%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Concentra was expected to post earnings of $0.31 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $0.32, resulting in a surprise of +3.23%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Concentra does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, and investors are advised to consider other factors before making investment decisions [17].

Financial Performance - Concentra's Q1 2025 total revenue reached $5008 million, a 71% year-over-year increase[14] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $1027 million, up 68% compared to Q1 2024[14] - The company is raising its FY 2025 revenue guidance to between $21 billion and $215 billion, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $415 million and $430 million[12] - TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) Revenue is $19 billion and TTM Adjusted EBITDA is $383 million[6] - TTM Adjusted EBITDA margin is 198%[10] Acquisitions and Expansion - Concentra completed the acquisitions of Nova (+67 centers) and PHC (+5 centers)[12] - The company announced the acquisition of Pivot Onsite Innovations (200+ onsite health clinics)[12] - Three de novo locations were opened in Q1 2025, with 3-4 more expected by year-end[12] - The purchase price for Pivot Onsite Innovations is $55 million[18] Operational Metrics - Concentra operates 627 occupational health centers and 160 onsite health clinics[6] - Visits per day (VPD) increased by 32% year-over-year, reaching 509k in Q1 2025[14] - Revenue per visit (RPV) increased by 56% year-over-year, reaching $14694 in Q1 2025[14]

Core Insights - Agilon Health (AGL) reported break-even quarterly earnings per share, surprising the market as the Zacks Consensus Estimate anticipated a loss of $0.01, marking a 100% earnings surprise [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.53 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.73%, although this represents a decline from year-ago revenues of $1.6 billion [2] - Agilon shares have increased by approximately 116.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -3.9% decline in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Agilon's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.05 on revenues of $1.47 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.31 on revenues of $5.92 billion [7] Industry Context - The Medical Services industry, to which Agilon belongs, is currently ranked in the top 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - The correlation between near-term stock movements and earnings estimate revisions suggests that tracking these revisions can provide insights into stock performance [5][6]