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After Cooling Off, On Holding May Be Ready to Sprint Higher
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-06 21:23
Core Insights - On Holding's share price has faced challenges due to concerns over slowing growth and valuation, but recent performance indicates a potential turnaround with strong Q4 2025 results [2][6] - The company anticipates continued growth of over 20% in 2026, despite guidance being below consensus expectations, which analysts believe is a strategic move [3][6] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 revenue increased by approximately 34%, surpassing consensus forecasts, driven by a 31% rise in wholesale channels and a 30% increase in direct-to-consumer sales [5] - Core shoe sales grew by 21%, apparel by 38%, and accessories by 117%, with the Asia-Pacific region showing the strongest growth at 85% [5] Analyst Sentiment and Market Activity - Analyst coverage has increased, with 25 analysts now covering the stock and an 84% Buy-side bias, indicating strong market confidence [3][4] - Institutional holdings have been rising, with significant accumulation of ONON stock observed in three of the four quarters of 2025 and early 2026, suggesting a solid support base [4][6] Future Outlook - Analysts expect a rebound in share price potentially before mid-year, with the next catalyst being the Q1 2026 earnings release in mid-May [4][6] - The price target remains optimistic, forecasting approximately 40% upside from the critical support level of around $41.30 [3][4]