Core Insights - Royal Caribbean reported an increase in fourth-quarter profit and revenue, driven by higher customer spending on onboard services [1] Financial Performance - The company experienced a rise in profit and revenue for the fourth quarter, indicating strong financial health and consumer demand [1] Customer Behavior - Customers are increasingly willing to spend more on onboard services, reflecting a positive trend in consumer spending within the cruise industry [1]

Key Takeaways RCL will report Q4 results Jan. 29, with EPS projected at $2.81 and revenues near $4.27B.Royal Caribbean's Q4 revenues likely rose on ~10% capacity growth from new ships and fewer dry dock days.RCL benefited from yield gains, higher onboard spending via digital channels and lower net cruise costs.Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is scheduled to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Jan. 29, before the opening bell.RCL’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four ...

Core Insights - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 28, with a history of beating earnings estimates in the past four quarters, averaging a surprise of 6.4% [1][9]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RCL's third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is $5.67, reflecting a 9% increase from $5.20 in the same quarter last year [2][9]. - Revenue expectations are pegged at approximately $5.16 billion, indicating a 5.7% rise from the previous year's figure [2][9]. Revenue Drivers - The anticipated increase in RCL's third-quarter revenue is attributed to strong consumer demand, favorable pricing trends, and robust onboard revenue streams [3]. - High booking activity, especially for close-in sailings, and steady load factors are expected to support revenue growth [3]. Yield and Revenue Growth - Management projects net yield growth of 2-2.5%, driven by consistent performance from the existing fleet and strong contributions from Caribbean, European, and Alaskan itineraries [4]. - Third-quarter passenger ticket revenues are estimated to rise by 5.1% year over year to $3.6 billion, while onboard and other revenues are expected to increase by 6.3% to $1.5 billion [5]. Cost Pressures - Elevated costs related to new ship deliveries and deferred spending are likely to impact margins, with net cruise costs (excluding fuel) expected to rise by 6-6.5% year over year [6]. - The estimated net cruise costs for the third quarter are projected at $126.2 million on a reported basis [6]. Overall Performance Outlook - Despite cost pressures, solid yield growth and sustained onboard revenue strength are likely to mitigate most of the margin impacts [7]. - The company anticipates adjusted EPS in the range of $5.55-$5.65, indicating continued earnings momentum and effective execution across its global operations [7]. Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for RCL, supported by a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Royal Caribbean's recent earnings report showed mixed results, with adjusted earnings exceeding estimates while revenues fell short, indicating a complex financial landscape for the company as it prepares for future performance [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Royal Caribbean reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.38, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.10, and up from $3.21 in the prior-year quarter [3]. - Quarterly revenues reached $4,538 million, which was below the consensus estimate of $4,550 million but represented a 10.4% increase year-over-year from $4.11 billion [3]. - Passenger ticket revenues were $3.2 billion, up from $2.9 billion in the prior-year quarter, aligning with estimates [4]. - Onboard and other revenues increased to $1.34 billion from $1.22 billion year-over-year, also meeting estimates [4]. - Total cruise operating expenses were $2.28 billion, reflecting a 6.1% year-over-year increase [4]. Cost and Yield Metrics - Net yields rose by 5.2% on a constant currency basis and 5.3% on a reported basis compared to Q2 2024 [5]. - Net cruise costs, excluding fuel, per Available Passenger Cruise Day (APCD) increased by 2.5% on a reported basis and 2.1% at constant currency from the previous year [5]. Cash and Debt Position - As of June 30, 2025, Royal Caribbean had cash and cash equivalents of $735 million, up from $388 million at the end of 2024 [6]. - Long-term debt decreased to $17.61 billion from $18.47 billion at the end of 2024, with the current portion of long-term debt also declining from $1.6 billion to $1.4 billion [6]. Booking Trends - The company is experiencing strong booking momentum, with load factors for 2025 and 2026 exceeding previous years and at higher pricing levels [7]. - There has been an acceleration in bookings, particularly for close-in sailings, contributing to the second-quarter outperformance [7]. - Demand remains robust across all product categories, supported by strong digital and commercial performance [7]. - Upcoming ship launches and the newly announced Royal Beach Club have generated significant interest, indicating positive consumer trends [8][9]. Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, Royal Caribbean expects depreciation and amortization expenses between $425-$435 million and net interest expenses between $235 million and $245 million [10]. - Adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $5.55-$5.65 [10]. - For the full year 2025, adjusted EPS is anticipated to be between $15.41 and $15.55, an increase from previous expectations [12]. - The company expects net yields to increase by 3.5-4% year-over-year [12]. Estimate Revisions - There has been a downward trend in estimates revisions over the past month, indicating a shift in market expectations [13][15]. - Royal Caribbean currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [15].

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][4] - The company achieved its 2026 SEA Change financial targets 18 months ahead of schedule, indicating operational efficiency and strategic growth [2] - CCL aims to maintain high-margin revenue growth and robust profitability through favorable booking positions [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were 35 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 24 cents by 45.8%, compared to 11 cents in the same quarter last year [4] - Revenues for the quarter reached $6.33 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $6.21 billion by 2% and increasing by 9.5% year over year [4] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $470 million, a significant increase of 250.7% from $134 million year over year, driven by higher ticket prices and onboard spending [6] Revenue Breakdown - Passenger ticket revenues amounted to $4.1 billion, up from $3.75 billion in the prior-year quarter, exceeding estimates of $3.96 billion [4] - Onboard and other revenues increased to $2.22 billion from $2.03 billion year over year, aligning closely with estimates [5] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of May 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $2.15 billion, up from $1.21 billion as of November 30, 2024, with total liquidity at $5.17 billion [7] - Total debt as of May 31 was $27.3 billion, slightly down from $27.48 billion as of November 30, 2024 [7] Booking and Future Outlook - CCL reported strong advance bookings for 2025 and 2026, with record levels and historical high pricing, indicating robust demand [8][9] - For Q3 fiscal 2025, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.87 billion and adjusted net income of about $1.8 billion [11] - The fiscal 2025 outlook has been raised, with adjusted EBITDA now anticipated to be approximately $6.9 billion, reflecting over 10% growth year over year [12]

Core Insights - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, showing year-over-year growth [1][3][4] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 were 26 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate of 11 cents, compared to an adjusted loss of 18 cents in the prior-year quarter [3] - Quarterly revenues reached $2.11 billion, beating the consensus mark of $2.09 billion, and increased from $1.99 billion in the prior-year quarter [3] - Passenger ticket revenues were $1.41 billion, up from $1.33 billion year-over-year, while onboard and other revenues rose to $700.6 million from $653.4 million [4] Cost Management - Total cruise operating expenses decreased by 1.1% year-over-year to $1.31 billion, attributed to lower commissions, transportation, and fuel costs, although partially offset by higher onboard costs and payroll expenses [5] - Gross cruise costs per Capacity Day were $285.92, up from $279.52 in the prior year, while adjusted net cruise costs (excluding fuel) per Capacity Day increased to $157.54 from $150.70 [6] 2024 Highlights - Total revenues for 2024 were $9.48 billion, an increase from $8.55 billion in 2023 [7] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $2.45 billion, compared to $1.86 billion in 2023, and adjusted earnings per share rose to $1.82 from 70 cents [7] Balance Sheet - As of December 31, 2024, cash and cash equivalents were $190.8 million, down from $402.4 million at the end of 2023, while long-term debt decreased to $11.78 billion from $12.31 billion [8] Booking and Demand - The company reported strong consumer demand across itineraries and brands, with occupancy during the quarter at 104.9% and advance ticket sales balance of $3.2 billion [10] - Bookings are expected to remain optimal into 2025 and 2026 [10] Guidance - For Q1 2025, NCLH anticipates occupancy of approximately 101.5% and adjusted EBITDA of about $435 million, with adjusted EPS predicted to be nearly 8 cents [11] - For the full year 2025, occupancy is expected to be around 103.4%, with adjusted EBITDA projected at nearly $2.72 billion and adjusted EPS at nearly $2.05 [12]