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Ondas Inc (ONDS): Can Ondas 10x From Here?
Austin.Substack· 2026-01-21 11:47
Core Insights - Ondas Inc (ONDS) has shown strong performance in 2025 and continues to maintain momentum into 2026, positioning itself well within the defense and industrial sectors undergoing transformation [1][2] - The company is exploring whether it can sustain long-term growth and potentially increase its stock value significantly [1] Industry Overview - The defense and industrial sectors are shifting from traditional manned systems to connected, autonomous, and swarming technologies, creating opportunities for startups to disrupt established manufacturers [2] - Ondas Inc is strategically positioned at the intersection of these trends, evolving from a niche provider of specialized radios to a diversified holding company focused on autonomous drones for security needs [3] Business Model - Ondas operates on a "Three-Legged Stool" model, consisting of Ondas Networks, Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS), and Ondas Capital [4][5][6] - Ondas Networks provides a federally mandated wireless standard for the North American rail network, generating high-margin recurring revenue [4] - OAS is a rapidly growing defense technology division that offers a comprehensive defense solution through various acquisitions, capitalizing on the demand for counter-UAS technology [5] - Ondas Capital utilizes a significant cash reserve to consolidate in a fragmented industry, allowing for strategic acquisitions [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - As of the latest data, Ondas trades at approximately $13.83 per share with a market cap of nearly $5.5 billion, reflecting a valuation of about 31 times its projected 2026 revenue of $180 million [7] - The company is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, with estimates for 2026 ranging from $170 million to $180 million, representing a year-over-year growth rate of approximately 260% [42] - Ondas has a backlog of $65.3 million, which has increased by 180% in just two months, indicating a strong conversion of contracts from pilot to production [43] Historical Context - Ondas has evolved through distinct phases: the "Rail Connectivity" era focused on broadband connectivity for industrial assets, and the "Autonomous Expansion" era pivoting towards drone technology [10][14] - The company has made significant acquisitions, including American Robotics and Airobotics, to enhance its capabilities in the autonomous systems market [14][15] Technology and Competitive Advantage - Ondas Networks' core product, the FullMAX software-defined radio platform, complies with the IEEE 802.16t standard, ensuring reliability and performance in rail communications [20][26] - The partnership with Siemens Mobility provides a strategic advantage, allowing Ondas to leverage Siemens' sales force and customer relationships, significantly reducing customer acquisition costs [22][23] Market Potential - The total addressable market (TAM) for Ondas is estimated at 70,000 units, with a focus on transitioning customers to a recurring revenue model through maintenance and licensing [24][30] - The autonomous systems division targets the growing demand for automated security solutions, driven by the need for cost-effective and reliable surveillance [27]
Ondas Hosts OAS Investor Day: Ups 2026 Revenue Target to $170 - $180 Million
Accessnewswire· 2026-01-16 13:00
Core Insights - Ondas Inc. is hosting its OAS Investor Day on January 16, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET, where it will present preliminary financial results for 2025 and revenue targets for 2026 [1][4] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Ondas expects revenue between $27.0 million and $29.0 million, representing a 51% increase over prior targets [2] - The full-year revenue for 2025 is projected to be between $47.6 million and $49.6 million, which is 23% higher than previous estimates [2] - Ondas' estimated backlog as of December 31, 2025, is $65.3 million, a 180% increase from $23.3 million on November 13, 2025 [3] - The company's pro-forma cash balance exceeds $1.5 billion, adjusted for a recent offering of approximately $1.0 billion [3] - The revenue target for 2026 has been raised to a range of $170 million to $180 million, which is 25% higher than the previous target of $140 million [3] Company Overview - Ondas Inc. is a leading provider of autonomous systems and private wireless solutions, operating through Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS), Ondas Capital, and Ondas Networks [8] - The company offers a combination of aerial intelligence and next-generation connectivity aimed at enhancing security and operational efficiency across various industries [8] - OAS delivers AI-powered defense and security platforms globally, protecting sensitive sites and critical infrastructure [9]
Ondas Up Nearly 600% in the Past Six Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 15:35
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) has experienced a remarkable stock performance with a 597% increase over the past six months, outperforming the Communication-Network software industry and major indices [1][8] - The company's pivot to the drone business, particularly through its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division, has been a significant driver of this growth [4][8] Company Performance - ONDS stock surged 15% recently, reaching a new 52-week high of $15.07 before closing at $14.01 [1] - OAS revenues reached $10 million in Q3 2025, primarily from deliveries of the Optimus System, Iron Drone Radar, and Apeiro ground robots [8][10] - Operating expenses increased significantly to $18.1 million in Q3 2025, up from $8.7 million in the prior-year quarter, leading to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.8 million [10][11] Strategic Developments - The company secured nearly $10 million in new purchase orders for its autonomous systems, indicating strong demand and solidifying its market position [5] - ONDS is pursuing several acquisitions to expand its capabilities in unmanned ground systems, robotics, and fiber optic communications, supported by a robust balance sheet [6] Market Context - The global drone technology market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030, indicating a rapidly expanding opportunity for ONDS [14] - Competition in the drone industry is intensifying, with rivals like Red Cat Holdings, AeroVironment, and Draganfly also experiencing significant stock gains [14][18] Valuation Concerns - ONDS is trading at a high forward price-to-sales ratio of 35.37X, compared to the industry average of 2.29X, which raises concerns about potential volatility and downside risk [17] - Despite long-term growth catalysts, the current valuation and rising expenses suggest that investors may want to consider taking profits [19]
ONDS vs. AVAV: Which Drone Tech Stock Is the Better Pick Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 15:15
Industry Overview - The global drone industry is experiencing significant growth, with a projected CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030, driven by increased adoption in commercial, government, and military sectors [2] - The integration of drones with AI, cloud computing, and edge processing is enhancing their adoption across various verticals [2] Company Analysis: Ondas Holdings (ONDS) - Ondas Holdings is an emerging player in the drone market, with its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) business transitioning into a high-growth segment, reporting $10 million in revenues for Q3 2025, up from $1 million in the same quarter last year [5] - The company has a backlog of $22.2 million for OAS and a consolidated backlog of $23.3 million, which includes acquisitions [5] - Ondas is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to expand its portfolio, having acquired several companies recently, including Sentrycs and Apeiro Motion, and is in the process of acquiring Roboteam [6] - As of September 30, 2025, Ondas had $433.4 million in cash and has raised $855 million since June to support its expansion plans [7] - The company faces challenges due to its heavy reliance on the OAS division for revenue growth, which could lead to significant revenue declines if major customers delay or cancel orders [7] - Rapid acquisitions may lead to integration overload risks, increasing expenses and execution challenges [8] - Ondas Networks is expected to see "meaningful adoption" by railroads in 2026, but current revenue expectations are modest compared to OAS [9] Company Analysis: AeroVironment (AVAV) - AeroVironment is a well-established leader in the drone industry, benefiting from strong ties with the U.S. military and allied governments, and is a key player in the rising demand for military drones [12] - The company reported a total ceiling value of contract awards reaching $3.5 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, with bookings of $1.4 billion [13] - AeroVironment continues to invest in R&D and manufacturing, unveiling new drone models and expanding its software ecosystem, including the launch of AV_Halo Cortex and AV_Halo Mentor [14] - The company expects revenues between $1.95 billion and $2 billion for fiscal 2026 [15] - However, AeroVironment's extensive exposure to government contracts poses customer concentration risks, with potential impacts from shifts in defense budgets and procurement delays [16] Performance and Valuation Comparison - Over the past six months, Ondas Holdings has seen a stock gain of 357.7%, while AeroVironment's stock has decreased by 3.2% [18] - Ondas is trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings ratio of 23.1X, significantly higher than AeroVironment's 5.47X [20] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates for Ondas upward by 9.7% over the past 60 days, while AeroVironment's estimates have been revised downward by 4.4% [21][24]
Ondas Stock Skyrockets Over 725% in a Year: Time to Lock in Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 14:46
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) has experienced a remarkable stock increase of 725.5% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Communication-Network software industry's decline of 8.1% [1] - The company's revenue surged more than sixfold year over year to $10.1 million, primarily driven by its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division [5][9] Company Performance - The growth of ONDS is largely attributed to the OAS unit, which is gaining traction through deliveries of its Optimus System and Iron Drone Radar platforms [7] - The customer pipeline for ONDS remains strong, with expectations for backlog expansion by the end of 2025, particularly in the counter-UAS market [8] - Recent partnerships, such as with Rift Dynamics, are aimed at enhancing capabilities in European defense markets [10] Financial Overview - As of September 30, 2025, ONDS had $433.4 million in cash and has raised $855 million since June to support expansion plans [12] - Operating expenses increased to $18.1 million from $8.7 million year-over-year, leading to a widened adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.8 million [16] Market Position and Challenges - The drone industry is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030, intensifying competition among companies like Unusual Machines and AeroVironment [13] - Heavy reliance on the OAS division raises concerns about revenue stability, especially if a major customer delays or cancels orders [14] - The stock is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 22.79X, significantly higher than the industry's 2.11X, indicating potential volatility and downside risk [19]
Ondas vs. Draganfly: Which Drone Stock Is the Smarter Buy for Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 14:26
Industry Overview - The drone industry is rapidly transforming with significant adoption of autonomous systems across government, military, and commercial sectors, driven by advancements in autonomous technology and AI-powered navigation [1] - The global drone tech market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030, while the commercial drone market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.8% from 2025 to 2032, presenting long-term investment opportunities [2] Ondas Holdings (ONDS) - Ondas Holdings focuses on private wireless data solutions and autonomous drones through its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division, which includes companies like Airobotics and American Robotics [4] - In the last reported quarter, OAS revenues reached $10 million, with a backlog of $22.2 million, indicating strong demand for its Optimus and Iron Drone systems [5] - The company has secured GreenUAS Cleared List certification for the Optimus drone, positioning it for inclusion in the Department of War Blue List as an NDAA-compliant platform [6] - Ondas is concentrating on the counter-UAS market with its Iron Drone System, which utilizes an intercepting drone to counteract drone attacks [7] - The company is pursuing mergers and acquisitions to enhance its portfolio, including plans to acquire Sentry CS Ltd. and other companies [8] - There are concerns regarding heavy dependence on the OAS division for revenue growth, as delays or cancellations from large customers could significantly impact revenues [9] Draganfly (DPRO) - Draganfly is a Canada-based developer of drone solutions, with a product lineup that includes various drones aimed at military and public safety applications [11] - The company has over five NDAA-compliant drone systems, providing a competitive advantage as the U.S. and NATO phase out non-compliant systems [12] - Draganfly's recent border-security demonstration with its Outrider drone generated strong interest from law enforcement and federal agencies [13] - The company received its first major U.S. Army FPV drone order, which includes supply chain support and training for onsite assembly [14] - In Q3 2025, Draganfly reported revenues of $2.16 million, a 14.4% increase year-over-year, indicating improved customer engagement and product sales [14] - Draganfly has a strong balance sheet with $69.9 million in cash and minimal debt, allowing for strategic investments in capacity and R&D [15] Price Performance and Valuation - Over the past six months, ONDS has gained 731.8%, while DPRO has increased by 261.8% [16] - ONDS is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 39.28X, significantly higher than DPRO's 3.06X [19] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates for ONDS upward by 9.4% in the past 60 days, while DPRO has seen marginal upward revisions [17][21] - In terms of Zacks Rank, DPRO is currently rated as a better investment pick with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), compared to ONDS's Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [22]
Should ONDS Stock Be a Part of Your Portfolio Post Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 14:01
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. reported a significant increase in revenues, surging over sixfold year over year to $10.1 million, primarily driven by its Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division [1][11] - Operating expenses rose to $18.1 million, leading to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.8 million, compared to a loss of $7.1 million in the previous year [2] - The company is experiencing strong demand in the autonomous and unmanned systems markets, particularly in defense and security [3] Financial Performance - OAS revenues reached $10 million, a substantial increase from $1 million a year earlier, with a backlog of $22.2 million at the end of Q3 [4][5] - The consolidated backlog stood at $23.3 million, with expectations to reach $40 million including acquisitions [5] - Ondas raised its full-year revenue outlook to at least $36 million, with Q4 revenues estimated to exceed $15 million [11][18] Growth Opportunities - The OAS division is positioned as a high-visibility growth engine, with strong demand for its Optimus System and Iron Drone Radar platforms [4] - Ondas is expanding its customer base in defense and homeland security across Europe and the U.S., with partnerships expected to enhance market adoption [6] - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions to strengthen its portfolio, including recent deals with Sentry CS Ltd. and Insight Intelligent Sensors [12][13][14] Strategic Initiatives - Ondas launched Ondas Capital to focus on deploying unmanned systems in Allied defense markets [9] - The company is working on localizing its supply chain for its drone systems, anticipating U.S.-built systems to be available by Q1 2026 [6] - The partnership with Rift Dynamics aims to enhance capabilities in European defense markets [7][8] Market Position - Ondas shares have increased by 665.8% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Communication-Network software industry [21] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 33.11X, indicating a premium valuation justified by revenue growth and backlog [27] Long-term Outlook - Ondas Networks is building long-term value through next-generation rail communications, with expectations for meaningful adoption by railroads in 2026 [15][16] - The company anticipates revenues in 2026 to be at least $110 million, driven by an expanding customer base and backlog [18]
Ondas Holdings to Report Q3 Earnings: How to Approach the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 14:25
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) is set to release its third-quarter 2025 results on November 13, with expectations of a loss of 5 cents per share and revenues estimated at $7.37 million, reflecting a 398% year-over-year increase [1][2][7]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ONDS indicates a loss of 5 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, while revenues are projected to be $7.37 million, marking a significant increase from the previous year [2]. - In the second quarter of 2025, ONDS reported revenues of $6.3 million, a more than 500% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by the Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) division [5]. Business Developments - The OAS division is expected to continue driving revenue growth, with a backlog of $22 million reported at the end of the second quarter [5]. - Ondas Holdings is expanding its customer base in defense and homeland security sectors across Europe, the Middle East, and the United States, with growing demand for its Optimus System and Iron Drone Radar system [6]. - Recent partnerships, including one with Rift Dynamics, aim to enhance capabilities in the European defense market, particularly with the development of a modular drone platform [7][8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched Ondas Capital, focusing on deploying unmanned/autonomous systems to defense and security markets, with full-year revenue expectations of at least $25 million [9]. - Ondas Holdings is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to broaden its capabilities, including recent acquisitions in counter-UAS technology and advanced sensing systems [12][13][14]. Market Performance - ONDS shares have surged 618.2% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Communication-Network software industry, which declined by 10.2% during the same period [15]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 29.85X, indicating a substantial premium compared to the industry average of 1.93X [22][23]. Future Outlook - The operational momentum from the OAS division, along with an expanding backlog and increased market penetration, positions ONDS as a compelling high-growth opportunity [24].
Ondas Appoints Former Rafael President & CEO Major General (Ret.) Yoav Har-Even to Ondas Autonomous Systems Advisory Board
Accessnewswire· 2025-11-10 13:30
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings Inc. has appointed Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Yoav Har-Even to its Advisory Board for Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS), leveraging his extensive experience in defense technology and international collaboration [2][4][3] Company Update - Har-Even previously served as President & CEO of Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, where he led significant growth and development of advanced defense technologies, including the Iron Dome [3][2] - His appointment is expected to enhance OAS's global defense-technology strategy and support the company's expansion in multi-domain autonomy and airspace defense [2][4] Strategic Goals - The addition of Har-Even to the advisory board aims to guide product integration, strategic partnerships, and international expansion, crucial for Ondas' next phase of growth [4][5] - In 2025, OAS achieved record international orders for its Optimus and Iron Drone Raider systems across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, indicating strong market demand [4] Technology and Solutions - Ondas provides a range of autonomous systems and private wireless solutions, enhancing security and operational efficiency across various industries [6][7] - OAS's portfolio includes AI-powered defense platforms and advanced ground robotics, supported by innovative navigation and communication technologies [7][6]
Bull of the Day: Ondas Holdings (ONDS)
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 11:21
Core Insights - Ondas Holdings is a $2.2 billion provider of autonomous drone systems and private wireless solutions, focusing on enhancing security and operational efficiency across essential industries [1] Group 1: Product Offerings - Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) provides AI-powered defense and security platforms, including the Optimus System, the Iron Drone Raider, and advanced ground robotics [2] - The Optimus System is the first U.S. FAA-certified small UAS for automated aerial security and data capture [2] - Ondas has acquired Sentrycs, a leader in counter-UAS technology, which enhances its capabilities in the counter-drone ecosystem [21][23] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Growth - Ondas has partnered with Palantir Technologies to leverage its Foundry platform for data integration and operational efficiency [12][13] - The company appointed Brigadier General Patrick Huston to its advisory board to support its strategic growth in the defense sector [5] - Ondas has received a $3.5 million order for ground robotics and payload systems from a leading defense entity, indicating strong demand for its products [6] Group 3: Market Engagement and Expansion - Ondas attended the AUSA Annual Meeting & Exposition 2025, showcasing its Iron Drone Raider and launching Ondas Capital, which aims to deploy $150 million for unmanned systems [9] - The company has placed an initial order for 500 Wasp drones from Rift Dynamics, targeting U.S. defense markets [7][8] - Ondas is expanding its partnership with Rift Dynamics to include Nammo for a fully integrated Wasp munition drone solution [10] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is expected to report on its growth plans for full-spectrum autonomous systems on November 13, which may provide further insights into its strategic direction [24] - The integration of Palantir's Foundry is seen as a significant move towards scaling operations and enhancing decision-making capabilities [16][18]