Market Overview - The stock market is entering a "danger zone," particularly in August, which is historically a poor month for American equity markets [2][5] - TradeSmith's Trade Cycles system indicates that many stocks associated with early summer rallies tend to decline as fall approaches [2][3] Company Insights - Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) is highlighted as a strong buy due to its position as the largest U.S. options exchange and its monopoly over VIX equity contracts, which are essential for traders seeking to hedge positions [6][7] - Cboe has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the third quarter, with a 4.7% average beat compared to 1.8% in the second quarter, indicating a "slow burn" of rising share prices from June 17 to September 10 [8] Seasonal Trends - The summer months see reduced liquidity, with daily trading volumes averaging 9.3 billion shares in August, about 30% lower than March's 13.2 billion [5] - Gasoline refining companies like Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) and Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) typically see gains of up to 7% due to increased road trips during the summer [10][11] - O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) is recommended for its longer seasonal bull cycle, benefiting from repairs needed before and after road trips, and showing strong growth compared to competitors [12][13] Financial Performance - O'Reilly reported a 9.1% growth rate in its professional segment and a 3.5% growth rate in the do-it-yourself segment, outperforming competitors [13] - O'Reilly's distribution network and knowledgeable staff contribute to its competitive advantage, allowing it to meet demand quickly [14][15] Investment Strategy - O'Reilly's shares are trading at a premium, with a forward earnings ratio of 32X compared to competitors' 17.5X, suggesting a justified value closer to $70 [16] - The Trade Cycles system provides insights on optimal buying and selling times, recommending holding ORLY through early September before exiting [16][20]

CBOE：4月份，其旗下四家美国期权交易所的总交易量为3100万份合约。 ...

Core Insights - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) reported strong performance metrics for its Electronic Brokerage segment in April 2025, highlighting significant growth in client trading activity and account numbers [1][2]. Performance Metrics - Total client Daily Average Revenue Trades (DARTs) reached 3,818,000 in April 2025, marking a 63.2% increase year-over-year and a 10% rise from March 2025 [2]. - Cleared average DARTs per customer account were 227 for April 2025, reflecting a 20.7% increase year-over-year and a 7.6% rise from the previous month [2]. Customer Accounts and Trading Activity - The total number of customer accounts grew to 3.71 million, a 32.2% increase year-over-year and a 2.6% increase from March 2025 [3]. - Net new accounts added in April were 95,100, representing a 56.7% year-over-year increase and a 27.8% sequential rise [3]. - Total options contracts traded were 137.8 million, up 30.4% year-over-year and 3% from the prior month [3]. - Futures contracts increased to 26.8 million, a 28.5% year-over-year rise and a 13.8% increase from the previous month [3]. Client Equity and Balances - Client equity at the end of April was $588.1 billion, a 28.5% increase year-over-year and a 2.5% sequential rise [4]. - Client credit balances reached $132.8 billion, up 25.5% from April 2024 and 6.1% from March 2025 [4]. - Customer margin loan balance was $58.2 billion, reflecting a 14.8% increase year-over-year but an 8.6% decline from the previous month [4]. Stock Performance - IBKR shares have increased by 45.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 20% [5].