Group 1: Apple Inc. - Apple reported a 10% increase in revenue to $94 billion in the June quarter, the fastest growth since 2021, driven by strong performance in the iPhone and services segments [4] - GAAP earnings rose 12% to $1.57 per diluted share, indicating solid financial health despite facing headwinds [4] - The company is experiencing challenges from the Digital Markets Act in Europe and an antitrust lawsuit involving Alphabet, which could impact its services revenue and pre-tax profits by 7% [6] - Apple has a valuation issue, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 35, leading to a PEG ratio of 3.5, significantly higher than competitors like Amazon and Nvidia [7] Group 2: Domino's Pizza - Domino's reported a 4% increase in revenue to $1.1 billion, attributed to 3.4% same-store sales growth and 178 net new store openings [8] - GAAP earnings decreased by 6% to $3.81 per diluted share due to losses on strategic investments, but operating income increased by 15% to $225 million [8] - The investment thesis for Domino's is based on its scale and brand authority, being the largest pizza company globally with over 21,500 stores [9] - Domino's introduced a "Hungry for More" strategy targeting 7% annual retail sales growth and 8% annual operating income growth through 2028, with plans to open 5,500 new stores [10] - Wall Street anticipates Domino's earnings to grow at 10% annually over the next three years, with a current valuation of 27 times earnings [12]

Core Insights - Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 21, with earnings expected to be $3.93 per share, reflecting a 2.5% decrease from the previous year [1][2][8] - The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 6.5% over the last four quarters [1] Q2 Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $1.14 billion, indicating a 4% growth year-over-year [2] - Earnings estimates have been revised downward by 0.3% in the past 30 days [2] Factors Influencing Performance - Expansion efforts, digitalization, and menu innovation are expected to positively impact second-quarter results [2] - The launch of Parmesan Stuffed Crust Pizza is anticipated to enhance customer satisfaction and order sizes [2] - Increased revenues from the supply chain due to higher order volumes and food basket pricing are likely to support top-line growth [3] Partnerships and Customer Engagement - The partnership with DoorDash, launched in May 2025, is expected to significantly boost pizza sales, potentially doubling the size of Uber Eats in this segment [3] - The Domino's Rewards program has been crucial in enhancing U.S. performance and customer retention [4] Revenue Projections - U.S. store revenues are projected to grow 4.9% to $382.7 million, while supply-chain revenues are expected to rise 3.1% to $680 million [5] - Comparable store sales (comps) for U.S. company-owned and franchise stores are predicted to grow 5.5% and 6.8%, respectively [4] Challenges - Despite new initiatives, the company may face challenges from weak traffic, particularly among lower-income consumers, which could impact delivery business [5] - Inflationary pressures in commodity and labor costs, along with macroeconomic challenges, are likely to negatively affect the bottom line [6] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Domino's, supported by a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7][9]

Core Insights - Domino's Pizza is facing challenges in 2025 but shows potential for growth through its "Hungry for MORE" strategy, with reaffirmed guidance indicating strength in the latter half of the year [3][9]. Financial Performance - Q1 net revenue reached $1.11 billion, reflecting a 2.5% increase driven by a 2.3% rise in global retail sales [10]. - U.S. comparable store sales decreased by 0.5%, but this was offset by a 3.7% increase in international sales on a foreign exchange neutral basis [10]. - System-wide comparable sales increased by 4.7% on an FX-neutral basis, indicating market share growth [11]. - GAAP earnings rose nearly 21% to $4.33, supported by a reduced share count [13]. Strategic Initiatives - The launch of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust Pizza is noted as the most successful in the company's history, expected to significantly boost delivery orders through a new partnership with DoorDash [4]. - Share buybacks totaled $50 million in Q1, reducing the share count by 1.6% year-over-year, with a remaining authorization of $764 million [14]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have mixed reactions, with a consensus price target of just over $515, reflecting a 3% increase from prior estimates [5]. - The high-end price forecast has been raised to $560/$565, suggesting potential for a new multi-year high [6]. - Institutional ownership stands at approximately 95%, providing a bullish outlook as institutions continue to buy shares [8]. Market Outlook - Despite headwinds such as foreign exchange conversion and a reduced store count, the company is expected to leverage its strengths in international markets [10]. - The macroeconomic outlook remains uncertain, which may influence short-seller behavior [9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Income from operations increased by 1.4% in Q1, excluding foreign currency impact, primarily due to gross margin dollar growth within the supply chain and higher international franchise royalties and fees [16] - Global retail sales grew by 4.7% in Q1, driven by positive international comps and global net store growth compared to the previous year [17] - U.S. retail sales grew by 1.3%, primarily driven by net store growth, while same-store sales declined by 0.5% [17][18] - International retail sales grew by 8.2%, excluding foreign currency impact, with same-store sales at 3.7% [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. carryout business comps were up 1%, while delivery was down 1.5% in the quarter, indicating a shift in consumer preference [18] - The launch of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust Pizza is expected to drive future sales, although it had minimal impact in Q1 due to its late introduction [7][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. QSR pizza category was roughly flat to start the year, while Domino's outperformed with a 1.3% growth in retail sales [17][18] - International markets showed strength, particularly in Asia, driven by strong comps in India and Canada [20][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The "Hungry for More" strategy focuses on driving sales, store growth, and profits through innovation, operational excellence, and renowned value [5][6] - The company plans to launch at least two new products each year, with the Parmesan Stuffed Crust Pizza being a significant addition [6][7] - A partnership with DoorDash is expected to enhance delivery capabilities, with a national launch anticipated in May [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenging macro backdrop but expressed confidence in achieving market share gains [5][16] - The company expects U.S. same-store sales to be around 3% for the year, with potential macro pressures impacting this guidance [22][75] - International same-store sales growth is expected to be between 1% to 2%, considering geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures [22][114] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 115,000 shares at an average price of $434, totaling $50 million in Q1 [21] - Organizational changes were made to streamline operations, which included the elevation of key executives [13][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of geopolitical pressures on international markets - Management noted that geopolitical volatility could impact demand, which is reflected in the guidance of 1% to 2% growth for the year [26][27] Question: Incrementality expectations from DoorDash - Management expects DoorDash to contribute approximately 50% incrementally to sales, with expectations of higher performance compared to Uber Eats [30][31] Question: Performance of the stuffed crust pizza - The stuffed crust pizza has received positive customer feedback, and while it did not significantly impact Q1, it is expected to drive future sales [34][35] Question: Domestic unit growth guidance - The company maintains its guidance of adding 175 net stores in 2025, with franchisee enthusiasm remaining strong [55][56] Question: Carryout customer performance - The carryout business experienced a slight deceleration, attributed to timing and calendar shifts rather than a decline in customer interest [101][102] Question: International unit growth outlook - Management expressed optimism about international unit growth reacceleration, particularly as closures from Domino's Pizza Enterprises are mostly behind [93][96]