The market expects PepsiCo (PEP) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on ...

Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo's stock has experienced a significant sell-off, but the decline has created a potential buying opportunity as the stock is now at historical lows, with a strong dividend yield and upside potential for long-term investors [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - PepsiCo reported Q2 earnings with revenue of $22.73 billion, a 1% increase, surpassing consensus estimates by 190 basis points [11]. - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for revenue, earnings, and capital returns, including a 5% increase in dividends and $1 billion in share buybacks by year-end [13]. Stock Outlook - The current stock price is $143.24, with a 12-month price forecast of $157.93, indicating a 10.26% upside potential [7]. - Analysts predict a 17% price increase by the end of the year, with a critical resistance target at $158 [9][10]. Institutional Activity - Institutions have been buying PepsiCo stock during the recent price decline, indicating strong institutional support [5][6]. - The buying activity is expected to continue into Q3, providing a favorable environment for the stock's recovery [8]. Technical Analysis - The stock has shown bullish indicators, with a positive market response following the Q2 release, confirming support at the 30-day exponential moving average [14][15]. - The stock is poised for a potential upward trend as it begins to reverse from recent lows [15].

Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo's stock is under pressure in H1 2025, with potential declines below $130, but this presents an entry point for dividend growth investors [2][5][12] Financial Performance - The company reported a 1.8% decline in revenue for Q1, but the revenue remains near historically high levels, outperforming consensus by 100 basis points [8][9] - Adjusted earnings fell by 4% in Q1, slightly missing analysts' forecasts, while the company reaffirmed its 2025 revenue outlook but trimmed its earnings forecast [11] Growth and Dividends - PepsiCo's dividend was valued at $5.44 in FY2024, expected to grow at a 5% pace in 2025, with a payout ratio around 70% [6] - The company is also engaging in share buybacks, reducing share count by 0.36% in FY2024 and 0.3% year-over-year in Q1 FY2025 [7] Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Analysts have set a 12-month stock price forecast for PepsiCo at $162.00, indicating a 21.46% upside from the current price [8] - There is a growing conviction in the Hold rating among analysts, with coverage increasing by 64% since early 2024 [13] Challenges and Headwinds - PepsiCo is facing headwinds in 2025, including margin pressure due to tariffs and increased supply chain costs [10] - Organic growth was reported at 1.2%, with weaknesses in certain regions not offsetting overall strengths [9]