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Hologic Navigates Breast Health Slump: Is the Growth Thesis Intact?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 13:45
Core Insights - Hologic is experiencing a decline in its Breast Health segment, with sales falling 6.2% in Q2 of fiscal 2025 due to weaker capital equipment sales, following a 2.1% drop in the previous quarter [1][7] - The company holds nearly 80% of the U.S. market share with its 3D Genius mammography machine, and recurring service revenues grew 12% year over year in Q2, indicating a strong contribution from its installed base [2][7] - Hologic's management is optimistic about a growth rebound in Q4 and plans to launch the FDA-cleared Envision mammography platform in fiscal 2026 [7] Financial Performance - Hologic's shares have dropped 12.6% year to date, which is steeper than the industry's decline of 9.8% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Hologic's earnings for fiscal 2025 and 2026 has been revised downward over the past 90 days [9] Competitive Landscape - GE Healthcare, a key competitor, reported record double-digit order growth in Q1 of 2025, with organic imaging revenues increasing by 5% year over year [4] - Becton, Dickinson and Company (BD) is also a significant player in the breast biopsy device market, expecting stronger growth in the second half of fiscal 2025 [5] Valuation Metrics - Hologic trades at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 14.02X, compared to the industry average of 28.64X, indicating a relatively lower valuation [8]
Becton, Dickinson(BDX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-01 11:14
Q2 FY25 Performance - Revenue reached $5.3 billion, with a 6.0% increase on a currency-neutral (FXN) basis, and a 0.9% increase organically[23] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.35, a 5.7% year-over-year increase[23] - Adjusted operating margin improved by 60 bps year-over-year to 24.9%[23] - Operating cash flow year-to-date was $0.9 billion[23] - Free cash flow year-to-date decreased by 44% to $623 million, reflecting planned one-time cash payments[35] Segment Performance - BD Medical revenue was $2.76 billion, up 14.3% FXN and 3.6% organically[23] - BD Life Sciences revenue was $1.247 billion, down 2.4% FXN (all organic)[23] - BD Interventional revenue was $1.264 billion, down 1.1% FXN (all organic)[23] FY25 Guidance - Estimated total company revenue is projected to be approximately $21.8 billion to $21.9 billion[37] - Adjusted revenue growth (FXN) is expected to be 7.8% to 8.3%[37] - Organic revenue growth (FXN) is projected to be 3.0% to 3.5%, which includes absorbing an approximate 175 bps impact from an expected decline in China, as well as Biosciences and Pharmaceutical Systems market dynamics[37] - Adjusted diluted EPS is guided to be $14.06 to $14.34, representing a 7.0% to 9.1% increase compared to $13.14 in FY24, inclusive of an estimated tariff impact of (25¢)[37]