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Argan Stock Surges 49% in 6 months: Should Investors Ride the Rally?
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 14:50
Core Insights - Argan, Inc. (AGX) shares have increased by 49% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry's growth of 18.2% and the broader Construction sector and S&P 500, which grew by 12.4% and 14.3% respectively [1][5]. Industry Overview - The construction environment is mixed, but demand for power generation and grid reliability remains strong. Factors such as tariffs, high input and labor costs, and inflation exert some pressure, yet infrastructure spending related to electricity demand and system upgrades is resilient [3][4]. Company Performance - Argan is experiencing steady momentum due to increasing demand for reliable power generation and grid infrastructure. The company benefits from rising electricity consumption driven by data centers, AI workloads, and electrification, which supports large natural gas projects where its EPC capabilities provide a competitive advantage [4][9]. - Argan's backlog reached a record of nearly $3 billion, providing clear revenue visibility across multi-year projects. The company is expanding its services beyond power to include industrial and telecom construction [8][12]. Backlog and Project Mix - The backlog consists of over 6 gigawatts of generation capacity, with management expecting to maintain 10-12 active projects at any time. This backlog supports predictable revenue progression extending into 2027 [12]. - Approximately 79% of the backlog is associated with gas-fired facilities, reflecting the demand for reliable power to support renewable generation and rising electricity consumption [14]. Revenue Diversification - Argan is diversifying its revenue streams through its Industrial Construction Services and Telecommunications Infrastructure Services segments. In Q3 of fiscal 2026, revenues from Industrial Construction Services increased by 19% year over year to $49 million, while Telecommunications Infrastructure Services revenues rose by 76% to $6.3 million [16]. Valuation and Earnings Outlook - AGX stock is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 31.47, which is higher than peers like TopBuild, Frontdoor, and Gibraltar, which have forward P/E ratios of 24.37, 14.94, and 11.9 respectively [17][19]. - Despite the premium valuation, analysts have revised AGX's earnings estimates upward, projecting a 23.2% year-over-year growth in earnings for fiscal 2027, with expected revenue growth of 37.4% [20].