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APLD's Energy Strategy is Evolving: Can it Drive Further Upside?
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 16:16
Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) is enhancing its competitive edge by treating energy availability as a strategic asset rather than a passive input [1] - The company is collaborating with Babcock and Wilcox Enterprises and investing $15 million in Corintis to address power deployment speed and thermal efficiency in AI infrastructure [1][2] Energy Strategy - The partnership with Babcock and Wilcox aims to accelerate on-site power generation using steam turbine technology for new natural gas-fired plants, potentially shortening time-to-power for new campuses [2] - This initiative may lead to faster lease commencements and improved utilization of contracted megawatts, enhancing revenue visibility [2] Investment in Cooling Technology - The investment in Corintis aligns with APLD's goal of supporting higher-density AI workloads, addressing cooling constraints as customers transition to next-generation GPUs [2] - If the micro-channelled cold plate systems perform effectively, APLD could sustain higher compute density per building [2] Execution Challenges - Both power generation and advanced cooling strategies involve complexities such as permissions, construction timelines, and performance consistency at hyperscale [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter revenues is $75.06 million, reflecting a 41.83% year-over-year increase [3][7] Competitive Landscape - APLD faces competition from Vertiv Holdings and nVent Electric, which provide power delivery and thermal management solutions for AI infrastructure [4] - Vertiv and nVent's vendor model requires less capital per megawatt compared to APLD's integrated campus approach, which concentrates power deployment risk [4] Stock Performance and Valuation - APLD shares have increased by 148.6% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector [5] - The stock is considered overvalued with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 21.62X compared to the sector's 9.23X, and it has a Value Score of F [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third-quarter fiscal 2026 loss is projected at 10 cents per share, widening by 3 cents over the past 30 days [10]