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Stem Jumps 32% in a Month: Should You Add the Stock to Your Portfolio?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-21 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Stem's stock has significantly outperformed the broader technology sector, driven by strong first-quarter 2025 results and strategic shifts towards a software-centric business model [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenues for the first quarter of 2025 increased by 27% year over year, surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimates by 26% [2] - Gross margins improved by 46%, attributed to growth in high-margin software and services [3] - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $57 million, an 8% increase year over year, while contracted annual recurring revenue (CARR) grew 7% sequentially to $69 million [5] - The company generated positive cash flow of $8.5 million from operations for the first time [3] Operational Metrics - Solar operating AUM increased to 32.4 GW, a 20% year-over-year rise, while storage operating AUM doubled to 1.6 GWh [6] - Bookings for the quarter were $34.5 million, slightly below the previous year's $37.6 million, but contracted backlog rose 21% sequentially to $25.3 million [6] Organizational Changes - Stem has undergone a significant organizational transformation, creating four distinct business units with full profit and loss accountability [7] - A targeted workforce reduction of 27% was announced, expected to save approximately $30 million annually, with a $24 million benefit anticipated in 2025 [8] Future Outlook - The company reaffirmed its 2025 revenue guidance, projecting between $125 million and $175 million, with a consensus estimate of $145.20 million [10] - The bottom line is expected to improve significantly, with a projected loss of 51 cents per share compared to a loss of $1.04 per share in the prior year [10] Conclusion - Stem's strong first-quarter performance, growing recurring revenue, and positive cash flow indicate strategic momentum and a path towards sustainable profitability [11]