Core Viewpoint - Rivian's stock has shown volatility in 2025, but there is a strong long-term investment narrative despite recent sales trends not being encouraging [1] Group 1: Sales and Growth Potential - Rivian's sales are currently around 50,000 vehicles per year, which is insufficient for profitability, with deliveries slightly down in 2024 compared to 2023 [2] - The company is developing a new model, the R2, which is expected to significantly boost sales due to its lower price point starting around $45,000 [4][10] - The R2 aims to offer great range and features in a smaller, more cost-effective package, which could lead to dramatic sales growth [2][4] Group 2: Cost Management and Production Efficiency - Rivian has been focused on reducing production costs while improving vehicle quality, achieving a reduction of over $22,600 in cost of goods sold per vehicle in the first quarter compared to the previous year [5] - The development of the R2 is on schedule, indicating effective management and leadership, which is a positive sign for future production [6] Group 3: Financial Position - Rivian is not yet profitable but has shown positive gross profit for the last two quarters, with expectations of maintaining a modest positive gross profit for the full year [8] - The company has a strong cash position with $7.2 billion available as of the end of March, and an additional $1 billion expected from a joint venture with Volkswagen by the end of June [9][10] Group 4: Future Outlook - Rivian plans to launch the R3 series by early 2027, which is expected to contribute to meaningful positive free cash flow [10] - The company also aims to sell the R2 in Europe, providing a potential additional demand source and mitigating risks from U.S. EV policy changes [10]